Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

H Heesterbeek, RM Anderson, V Andreasen, S Bansal… - Science, 2015 - science.org
BACKGROUND Despite many notable successes in prevention and control, infectious
diseases remain an enormous threat to human and animal health. The ecological and …

Virulence and pathogenesis of HIV-1 infection: an evolutionary perspective

C Fraser, K Lythgoe, GE Leventhal, G Shirreff… - Science, 2014 - science.org
Background Why some individuals develop AIDS rapidly whereas others remain healthy
without treatment for many years remains a central question of HIV research. Of the …

Investment in child and adolescent health and development: key messages from Disease Control Priorities

DAP Bundy, N de Silva, S Horton, GC Patton, L Schultz… - The Lancet, 2018 - thelancet.com
The realisation of human potential for development requires age-specific investment
throughout the 8000 days of childhood and adolescence. Focus on the first 1000 days is an …

[HTML][HTML] How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic?

RM Anderson, H Heesterbeek, D Klinkenberg… - The lancet, 2020 - thelancet.com
Governments will not be able to minimise both deaths from coronavirus disease 2019
(COVID19) and the economic impact of viral spread. Keeping mortality as low as possible …

Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings

C Fraser, CA Donnelly, S Cauchemez, WP Hanage… - science, 2009 - science.org
A novel influenza A (H1N1) virus has spread rapidly across the globe. Judging its pandemic
potential is difficult with limited data, but nevertheless essential to inform appropriate health …

HIV-1 transmission, by stage of infection

TD Hollingsworth, RM Anderson… - The Journal of infectious …, 2008 - academic.oup.com
Background. The epidemiological impact of public health interventions targeted at reducing
transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) during early or late-stage …

[HTML][HTML] Reducing Plasmodium falciparum Malaria Transmission in Africa: A Model-Based Evaluation of Intervention Strategies

JT Griffin, TD Hollingsworth, LC Okell… - PLoS …, 2010 - journals.plos.org
Background Over the past decade malaria intervention coverage has been scaled up across
Africa. However, it remains unclear what overall reduction in transmission is achievable …

Variation in HIV-1 set-point viral load: epidemiological analysis and an evolutionary hypothesis

C Fraser, TD Hollingsworth… - Proceedings of the …, 2007 - National Acad Sciences
The natural course of HIV-1 infection is characterized by a high degree of heterogeneity in
viral load, not just within patients over time, but also between patients, especially during the …

Efficacy of contact tracing for the containment of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19)

MJ Keeling, TD Hollingsworth, JM Read - J Epidemiol Community …, 2020 - jech.bmj.com
Objective Contact tracing is a central public health response to infectious disease outbreaks,
especially in the early stages of an outbreak when specific treatments are limited …

[HTML][HTML] Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza?

TD Hollingsworth, NM Ferguson, RM Anderson - Nature medicine, 2006 - nature.com
A key question in contingency planning for a possible influenza pandemic is the value of
restricting international travel to and from affected countries or regions, or imposing entry or …