General Obstetrics and Gynecology: Obstetrics
Fetal deaths in the United States, 1997 vs 1991

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Objective

The purpose of this study was to examine the temporal change in fetal death risk in the US from 1991 to 1997, and to assess the extent to which changes in registration practices and labor induction have contributed to that change.

Study design

This was a cohort study of all singleton pregnancies 20 to 43 weeks of gestation in 1991 and 1997 in the US.

Results

From 1991 to 1997, the overall fetal death rate fell from 77.6 to 67.8 per 10,000 total births. However, fetal deaths at 20 to 22 weeks as a proportion of total births increased from 14.5 to 16.9 per 10,000. In a Cox regression analysis, the crude period effect (1997 vs 1991) at 40 to 43 weeks was 0.87 (95% CI 0.80-0.94), and remained virtually unchanged (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.96) after adjustment for maternal sociodemographic, medical, and lifestyle risk factors. In ecologic (Poisson regression) analysis based on states as the unit of analysis, the crude period effect in non-Hispanic whites (RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.74-0.84) disappeared (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.82-1.16) after adjusting for induction of labor. The effect of induction in blacks was limited to 42 to 43 weeks in those at high risk.

Conclusion

Increased registration is probably responsible for an increase in fetal death risk at 20 to 22 weeks of gestation, whereas the increasing trend toward routine labor induction at and after term appears to have reduced the risk of fetal death, especially among whites.

Section snippets

Material and methods

Our study is based on the US live birth and fetal death files for the years 1991 and 1997.8 No data were available on obstetric procedures (ie, labor induction) before the 1989 revision of US vital statistic files, and were incomplete until 1991. The 1997 file was the most recent available when the study was initiated. Because multiple gestations are associated with a high risk of fetal death, we restricted our analyses to singleton births. All singleton fetal deaths ≥20 weeks of gestation are

Results

For both whites and blacks, the fetal death risk in 1991 and 1997 from 20 to 43 weeks is shown for the 50 states (plus DC) in Figure 1. From 1991 to 1997, the fetal death risk for whites and blacks combined in the 50 states and DC increased by 18% at 20 to 22 weeks of gestation from 10.6 to 12.5 per 10,000 ongoing pregnancies (RR 1.18, 95% CI 1.13-1.23), whereas from 40 to 43 weeks, it decreased by 22% from 12.2 to 9.5 per 10,000 ongoing pregnancies (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.73-0.83). For whites, the

Comment

Fetal deaths at 20 to 22 weeks increased relative to total births (at all GAs) between 1991 and 1997, although no similar increase was found at other early GA categories (23-25 or 26-28 weeks). A similar increase in the proportion of fetal deaths <500 g (relative to total births) was documented in the state of Alabama from 1974 to 1994, and in Canada from 1985 to 1995 (note: birth weight of 500 g approximately corresponds to a GA of 22 weeks), but was not observed in other low-birth-weight

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    Drs Kramer, Platt, and Joseph are career investigators of the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, and Dr Joseph is also a Clinical Research Scholar of the Dalhousie University Faculty of Medicine.

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