Elsevier

Ophthalmology

Volume 105, Issue 11, 1 November 1998, Pages 2099-2104
Ophthalmology

The probability of blindness from open-angle glaucoma

Presented at the Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology annual meeting, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, May 1997.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0161-6420(98)91133-2Get rights and content

Abstract

Objective

This study aimed to determine the probability of a patient developing legal blindness in either one or both eyes from newly diagnosed and treated open-angle glaucoma (OAG) after starting medical or surgical therapy or both.

Design

The study design was a retrospective, community-based descriptive study.

Participants

Two hundred ninety-five residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, newly diagnosed with, and treated for, OAG between 1965 and 1980 with a mean follow-up of 15 years (standard deviation ± 8 years) participated.

Intervention

Kaplan-Meier cumulative probability of blindness was estimated for patients treated and followed for OAG.

Main outcome measures

Legal blindness, defined as a corrected visual acuity of 20/200 or worse, and/or visual field constricted to 20° or less in its widest diameter with the Goldmann III4e test object or its equivalent on automated perimetry, secondary to glaucomatous loss, was measured.

Results

At 20-years’ follow-up, the Kaplan-Meier cumulative probability of glaucoma-related blindness in at least one eye was estimated to be 27% (95% confidence interval, 20%–33%), and for both eyes, it was estimated to be 9% (95% confidence interval, 5%–14%). At the time of diagnosis, 15 patients were blind in at least 1 eye from OAG.

Conclusion

A retrospective study of a white population determined that the risk of blindness from newly diagnosed and treated OAG may be considerable.

Section snippets

Subjects and methods

This study is a retrospective, community-based, longitudinal study of residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, who were newly diagnosed with OAG between 1965 and 1980. This period was chosen to allow for adequate follow-up after diagnosis.

Study patients were identified through a computerized search of the database of the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP), a medical records linkage system established to study the occurrence and natural history of disease among the residents of Rochester and

Results

Two hundred ninety-five patients were identified as newly diagnosed OAG over the 15-year period. Two hundred sixty-five (90%) of 295 were diagnosed with POAG, 25 (8%) of 295 with exfoliative glaucoma, and 5 (2%) of 295 with pigmentary glaucoma. Based on the classification described above, a total of 114 patients (60%) were identified as having classic glaucoma, 177 patients (39%) were classified as having treated ocular hypertension, and 4 patients (1%) were classified as having unsupported

Discussion

Our study indicates that OAG leads to blindness in a significant number of individuals, even while patients are receiving therapy. Kaplan-Meier life-table analysis estimates a probability of 9% for bilateral blindness and a 27% probability of blindness in at least one eye from classic glaucoma and treated ocular hypertension at 20 years. The development of blindness was more common in patients with classic glaucoma, with a 22% probability in both eyes and a 54% probability in at least one eye

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Supported in part by Research to Prevent Blindness, Inc, New York, New York; the Mayo Foundation, Rochester, Minnesota; and grant number 30582, the National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.

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