Original article
Predictors of disability in elderly finnish men—A longitudinal study

https://doi.org/10.1016/0895-4356(89)90120-0Get rights and content

Abstract

Factors predicting disability in late life were studied in 716 men from eastern or southwestern Finland in connection with the 25-year follow-up. of the East-West Study, which is part of the Seven Countries Study, in 1984. In middle-aged men, low forced vital capacity, occurrence of diabetes, presence of intermittent claudication, high diastolic blood pressure, higher age and lower educational level showed the greatest predicting power for future disability 15–25 years later. In later middle age, low forced vital capacity, presence of intermittent claudication, cerebrovascular disease or coronary heart disease and higher age were the most powerful predictors for disability 10 years later. In order to lower disability in old age, it is important to prevent deterioration of ventilatory function and cardiovascular diseases in middle-aged populations and to treat chronic diseases adequately.

References (46)

  • I. Ruikka et al.

    The health of the aged in Turku

    Ann Acad Sci Fenn A

    (1966)
  • E. Shanas et al.

    Old People in Three Industrial Societies

    (1968)
  • A.E. Bennett et al.

    Chronic disease and disability in the community: a prevalence study

    Br Med J

    (1970)
  • A.I. Harris

    Handicapped and Impaired in Great Britain, Part 1. Office of Population Census and Surveys, Social Survey Division

    (1971)
  • A.J. Akhtar et al.

    Disability and dependence in the elderly at home

    Age Ageing

    (1973)
  • S.Z. Nagi

    An epidemiology of disability among adults in the United States

    Milbank Mem Fund Q

    (1976)
  • P. Karjalainen

    Vanhusten kontaktit, avuntarve ja palvelujen saatavuus

  • E. Heikkinen et al.

    The Elderly in Eleven Countries. A Sociomedical Survey

  • I. Ruikka et al.

    Turun vanhusten terveydeutila vuonna 1983

  • A.M. Jette et al.

    Impairment and disability in the aged

    J Chrou Dis

    (1985)
  • S.-L. Kivela

    Disability among home-nursed patients and homehelp clients

    Scand J Soc Med

    (1985)
  • A. Nissinen et al.

    65–74 -vuotiaiden itäsuomalaisten terveys ja toimintakyky

    Suom Lääkäril

    (1985)
  • S.-L. Kivelä et al.

    Iäkkäiden terveys ja elinolot

    Ähtärin kaupungin julkaisusarja N:o I

    (1986)
  • U.-K. Lammi et al.

    Functional capacity and associated factors in elderly Finnish men

    Scand J Soc Med

    (1989)
  • H. Simonen

    Toiminnanvajavuus ja ikääntyneet pitkäaikaissa raat

    Kansanterveystieteen julkaisuja M53

    (1980)
  • L.G. Branch et al.

    A prospective study of functional status among community elders

    Am J Public Health

    (1984)
  • E.B. Palmore et al.

    Predictors of function among the old-old: a 10 year follow-up

    J Geroutol

    (1985)
  • J.L. Pinsky et al.

    Framingham disability study: relationship of disability to cardiovascular risk factors among persons free of diagnosed cardiovascular disease

    Am J Epidemiol

    (1985)
  • WHO

    Protecting the Health of the Elderly

  • J. Cornoni-Huntley et al.

    Epidemiology of disability in the oldest old: methodologic issues and preliminary findings

    Milbank Mem Fund Q

    (1985)
  • M.J. Karvonen et al.

    Men in rural east and west Finland

  • M.J. Karvonen et al.

    Cigarette smoking, serum cholesterol, blood pressure and body fatness. Observations in Finland

    Lancet

    (1959)
  • M.J. Karvonen

    Epidemiology of ischaemic heart disease in Finland

  • Cited by (42)

    • Coffee and the Risk of Dementia and Cognitive Impairment

      2015, Diet and Nutrition in Dementia and Cognitive Decline
    • Disability and its correlates with chronic morbidities among U.S. adults aged 50-< 65 years

      2009, Preventive Medicine
      Citation Excerpt :

      Of the three pathways to disability, the most common is associated with chronic conditions that become so severe that they limit function. Studies have reported that chronic morbidities are predictors of disability in people aged ≥ 65 years (Cho et al., 1998; Harris et al., 1989; Lammi et al., 1989; Wang et al., 2002), and arthritis and other musculoskeletal diseases were the primary causes of disability in older people (Ettinger et al., 1994a, 1994b; Guralnik et al., 1995). In addition, coronary heart disease, injury, lung disease, and stroke were also causes of disability in these groups (Ettinger et al., 1994a, 1994b).

    • The development of a comorbidity index with physical function as the outcome

      2005, Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
      Citation Excerpt :

      However, in many types of research it is essential to adjust for other diseases, called comorbid diseases, in addition to the disease of concern, which may be related to the outcome(s) of interest. This is of particular importance in research conducted in older populations where many chronic illnesses may be present in the same patient [2–14]. Without this adjustment outcomes cannot be attributed to investigative interventions as the patients themselves may differ substantially in prognostic expectations due to their initial comorbid illnesses [2].

    • Nondisease factors affected trajectories of disability in a prospective study

      2005, Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
      Citation Excerpt :

      Long-term disability was measured using the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development questionnaire [23], as well as a questionnaire with additional items referring to activity restrictions in activities of daily living (ADL) and mobility [24]. Similar to disability scales used in prior research on determinants of disability (e.g., [13,14], our disability scale includes physical performance (walking a quarter of a mile (400 m), carrying an object of 10 pounds (5 kg), bending and picking up a shoe), gross mobility capacity (walking up and down the stairs, walking outside [no distance], getting outside), and basic activities of daily living (getting in and out of bed, getting in and out of a chair, dressing; washing hands and face, walking across a room, bathing or showering). Each disability item was scored on a four-point scale ranging from 1 (without any difficulty) to 4 (unable to do or only with help).

    View all citing articles on Scopus
    View full text