Table 2

Results of mixed-effects Poisson regressions for the effects of time interval, sociodemographic characteristics and their interactions on the total number of NLEs (N=1932)

Models (M)Work/financialSocial/interpersonalIllness (own)Illness/death (others)
IRR (95% CI)P valueIRR (95% CI)P valueIRR (95% CI)P valueIRR (95% CI)P value
(M1) main effects (time)
 Time: Pre 2.53 (2.31 to 2.76) <0.0011.06 (1.00 to 1.13)0.053 1.98 (1.83 to 2.14) <0.001 1.24 (1.17 to 1.31) <0.001
 Time: Post 0.84 (0.80 to 0.89) <0.001 1.07 (1.01 to 1.14)0.016 1.08 (1.02 to 1.14)0.007 1.20 (1.15 to 1.26) <0.001
R2 (cond. | marg.)0.320 | 0.1740.329 | 0.0030.240 | 0.1580.110 | 0.055
AIC | BIC10212.87 | 10241.5811639.89 | 11668.611185.57 | 11214.2715007.31 | 15036.01
(M2) M1+main effects (SCDs)
 Sex: female 0.89 (0.80 to 0.98)0.023 1.18 (1.05 to 1.33)0.0050.98 (0.90 to 1.08)0.727 1.24 (1.15 to 1.33) <0.001
 Age/10 0.86 (0.82 to 0.91) <0.001 0.71 (0.67 to 0.75) <0.0010.98 (0.94 to 1.03)0.460 1.07 (1.03 to 1.11) <0.001
 School: <10 years 0.86 (0.74 to 0.99)0.0410.87 (0.73 to 1.03)0.101 1.15 (1.02 to 1.30)0.0200.99 (0.90 to 1.09)0.775
 School: >10 years0.97 (0.84 to 1.11)0.670 1.24 (1.07 to 1.44)0.004 0.82 (0.72 to 0.93)0.0021.02 (0.93 to 1.13)0.613
  R2 (cond. | marg.)0.326 | 0.1910.337 | 0.0840.242 | 0.1630.111 | 0.065
  AIC | BIC10154.97 | 10212.3811401.76 | 11459.1611171.39 | 11228.7914966.56 | 15023.97
(M3.1) M2+interaction (time×sex)
 Pre×female0.85 (0.71 to 1.01)0.0661.01 (0.89 to 1.14)0.9180.99 (0.85 to 1.17)0.9331.06 (0.95 to 1.19)0.314
 Post×female0.91 (0.81 to 1.02)0.1081.05 (0.93 to 1.18)0.413 0.86 (0.77 to 0.96)0.005 0.88 (0.80 to 0.97)0.008
  R2 (cond. | marg.)0.328 | 0.1940.337 | 0.0840.243 | 0.1650.113 | 0.068
  AIC | BIC10149.17 | 10220.9311404.62 | 11476.3811165.34 | 11237.114963.21 | 15034.97
(M3.2) M2+interaction (time×age)
 Pre×age/10 0.79 (0.73 to 0.85) <0.001 0.86 (0.81 to 0.91) <0.001 0.91 (0.85 to 0.98)0.010 0.92 (0.88 to 0.97) <0.001
 Post×age/10 0.87 (0.82 to 0.91) <0.001 0.91 (0.86 to 0.97)0.0021.01 (0.96 to 1.05)0.8020.97 (0.94 to 1.01)0.173
  R2 (cond. | marg.)0.345 | 0.2120.345 | 0.0940.248 | 0.1690.122 | 0.077
  AIC | BIC10052.08 | 10123.8411322.16 | 11393.9111167.69 | 11239.4514944.93 | 15016.68
(M3.3) M2+interaction (time×education)
 Pre×<10 years 0.78 (0.63 to 0.96)0.018 0.77 (0.65 to 0.90)0.0021.01 (0.84 to 1.21)0.9480.94 (0.83 to 1.07)0.363
 Pre×>10 years 0.71 (0.57 to 0.89)0.0040.97 (0.83 to 1.13)0.669 0.72 (0.58 to 0.90)0.0041.06 (0.91 to 1.23)0.465
 Post×<10 years 0.82 (0.71 to 0.95)0.0100.91 (0.77 to 1.08)0.2960.99 (0.88 to 1.12)0.9020.90 (0.81 to 1.01)0.068
 Post×>10 years1.06 (0.91 to 1.24)0.4410.90 (0.78 to 1.05)0.1751.09 (0.93 to 1.28)0.2920.91 (0.81 to 1.03)0.147
  R2 (cond. | marg.)0.328 | 0.1930.339 | 0.0870.242 | 0.1630.113 | 0.068
  AIC | BIC10137.67 | 10223.7811386.51 | 11472.6211170.37 | 11256.4814964.54 | 15050.65
  • Age is mean centred, sex (reference: male) and school years (reference: 10 years) are dummy coded; The reunification interval (1990–1994) is coded with 0, that is, the coefficients for age, sex and education represent the effects for this time interval. Coefficients with p<0.05 and confidence interval not containing 1 are marked in bold.

  • AIC, Akaike information criterion; BIC, Bayesian information criterion; cond, conditional R2 (fixed+random effects); IRR, incidence rate ratio; marg, marginal R2 (only fixed effects); NLE, negative life event; SDCs, sociodemographic characteristics.