Table 2

Mean and SD of the health outcome taken over 20 samples of 30 000 positions for each simulation (second phase, in italics) and including 100 repeated simulations for the first phase after a 5-year initialisation and 10 years of follow-up

Partial sillNuggetRSVPractical range
Initial values0.5430.4610.541184
Positive control0.431 (0.003)0.569 (0.003)0.430 (0.003)182 (1.64)
Social contagion
 0.0010.428 (0.010)0.573 (0.009)0.428 (0.009)185 (7)
 0.0050.429 (0.012)0.572 (0.011)0.429 (0.011)185 (6)
 0.010.361 (0.005)0.637 (0.005)0.361 (0.005)193 (4)
 0.050.219 (0.007)0.784 (0.007)0.291 (0.007)201 (6)
 0.10.104 (0.002)0.899 (0.002)0.104 (0.002)230 (6)
 0.20.041 (0.002)0.962 (0.002)0.041 (0.002)304 (20)
 0.40.041 (0.006)0.962 (0.002)0.041 (0.003)301 (23)
Alternative models
 0.05×0.1×stressor0.265 (0.013)0.733 (0.012)0.266 (0.012)182 (9)
 0.05×(−0.1)×stressor0.267 (0.010)0.733 (0.011)0.267 (0.008)186 (11)
 0.05 behaviour~stressor0.230 (0.009)0.768 (0.008)0.230 (0.008)195 (9)
  • RSV, relative structured variability.