Predictors of employment changes experienced in the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic
| Predictors | Change in employment status n=1379 | ‘Furloughed’ n=1159 | |
| Now unemployed versus same job | New job versus same job | ||
| Gender | |||
| Male | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Female | 1.0 (0.5 to 2.0) | 1.4 (0.8 to 2.4) | 0.8 (0.6 to 1.2) |
| Age group (years) | |||
| 18–29 | 1.3 (0.5 to 3.9) | 1.1 (0.5 to 2.6) | 2.5 (1.5 to 4.3) |
| 30–39 | 1.1 (0.4 to 2.9) | 1.0 (0.5 to 2.1) | 1.4 (0.9 to 2.3) |
| 40–49 | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| 50–59 | 0.7 (0.3 to 1.8) | 0.8 (0.4 to 1.5) | 1.3 (0.8 to 2.0) |
| 60–64 | 0.4 (0.1 to 1.7) | 0.3 (0.1 to 0.9) | 2.2 (1.3 to 3.8) |
| Deprivation | |||
| Quintile 1 (most deprived) | 0.9 (0.3 to 2.7) | 0.9 (0.4 to 2.1) | 1.3 (0.8 to 2.1) |
| Quintile 2 | 1.4 (0.5 to 4.0) | 1.0 (0.5 to 2.2) | 1.3 (0.9 to 2.1) |
| Quintile 3 | 1.6 (0.6 to 4.7) | 1.3 (0.6 to 3.0) | 1.1 (0.7 to 1.9) |
| Quintile 4 | 1.8 (0.7 to 5.1) | 1.9 (0.9 to 4.0) | 1.1 (0.7 to 1.8) |
| Quintile 5 (least deprived) | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Employment contract | |||
| Permanent | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Fixed term | 4.4 (1.3 to 14.8) | 2.6 (1.1 to 6.3) | 0.6 (0.3 to 1.3) |
| Atypical | 11.9 (4.3 to 32.9) | 3.7 (1.5 to 9.1) | 1.8 (0.96 to 3.3) |
| Self-employed | 6.2 (2.7 to 14.1) | 1.9 (0.9 to 4.1) | 0.3 (0.2 to 0.6) |
| Employment hierarchy | |||
| Job skill level 4 | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Job skill level 3 | 1.6 (0.7 to 3.7) | 1.6 (0.8 to 3.0) | 2.7 (1.8 to 4.1) |
| Job skill level 2 | 1.7 (0.7 to 3.9) | 1.8 (1.0 to 3.4) | 3.2 (2.2 to 4.7) |
| Job skill level 1 | 0.4 (0.1 to 3.8) | 1.4 (0.4 to 5.0) | 3.3 (1.6 to 6.9) |
| Household total income | |||
| Always covers basic needs | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Does not always cover basic needs | 2.1 (1.1 to 4.3) | 1.5 (0.9 to 2.6) | 1.9 (1.4 to 2.6) |
| Family unit | |||
| No child in household | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Child in household | 1.1 (0.5 to 2.4) | 0.7 (0.4 to 1.3) | 1.3 (0.9 to 1.8) |
| Health status | |||
| No pre-existing condition | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Pre-existing condition | 0.7 (0.3 to 1.5) | 1.7 (1.0 to 3.07) | 1.4 (1.0 to 1.9) |
| Not sure | 0.5 (0.1 to 2.3) | 1.0 (0.3 to 3.4) | 1.1 (0.5 to 2.1) |
| General health status | |||
| Good or better | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Not good | 1.2 (0.5 to 2.7) | 0.7 (0.4 to 1.5) | 0.6 (0.4 to 0.9) |
| Mental health | |||
| Average mental well-being | Reference | Reference | Reference |
| Low mental well-being | 4.1 (1.9 to 9.0) | 0.6 (0.2 to 1.5) | 1.3 (0.8 to 2.2) |
Data reported as adjusted ORs (aOR) and 95% CIs. Bold figures denote significant observations (p<0.05).