Table 1

Total observed activity versus forecasted activity (1 March to 20 September)

1 March to 20 September 2020 (26 weeks)
Total expected episodes
(95% prediction interval)
ObservedWeeks below 95% PIWeeks above 95% PI
Acute admissions38 358 (35 781, 40 935)33 837220
Subacute admissions1245 (847, 1643)114360
ED presentations47 122 (44 477, 49 767)37 081251
 Triage category 1266 (143, 388)24631
 Triage category 29291 (7950, 10 632)7576140
 Triage category 321 452 (19 826, 23 079)15 897260
 Triage category 414 797 (13 025, 16 570)11 503191
 Triage category 51852 (956, 2748)185762
MI: ED173 (42, 304)17511
MI: acute admissions221 (74, 369)21310
Stoke: ED352 (178, 526)28020
Stoke: acute admissions235 (96, 375)18211
  • ED, emergency department; MI, myocardial infarction; PI, prediction interval.