Table 2

Negative binomial regression results for COVID-19 cases in New York City, 19 July 2020

NeighbourhoodModel 1Model 2Model 3Model 4Model 5
CharacteristicsIRRIRRIRRIRRIRR
Racial/Ethnic Composition
(ref: Majority White)
Majority Black1.63***
[1.42,1.86]
1.56***
[1.35,1.80]
1.18*
[1.02,1.38]
0.97
[0.88,1.07]
0.97
[0.88,1.07]
Majority Hispanic2.10***
[1.81,2.43]
1.93***
[1.65,2.25]
1.34**
[1.11,1.62]
0.93
[0.82,1.06]
0.96
[0.85,1.09]
Other1.51***
[1.34,1.71]
1.47***
[1.30,1.65]
1.14*
[1.01,1.28]
1.03
[0.94,1.12]
1.01
[0.92,1.11]
Percentage Poor1.06*
[1.01,1.12]
0.94**
[0.91,0.98]
Percentage of Household Income>$200K0.80***
[0.72,0.88]
0.93
[0.84,1.04]
Percentage of Workers In Essential Occupations1.29***
[1.25,1.33]
1.25***
[1.18,1.33]
  • *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001.

  • All models adjusted for proportion age 65 years and older, COVID-19 testing rate, population size and ZIP code latitude and longitude coordinates. Percentage poor, percentage household Income>$200K and percentage workers in essential industries were rescaled such that a unit change reflects a 10 percentage point change.