Table 3

Negative binomial regression results for COVID-19 deaths in New York City, 19 July 2020

NeighbourhoodModel 1Model 2Model 3Model 4Model 5
CharacteristicsIRRIRRIRRIRRIRR
Racial/Ethnic Composition
(ref: Majority White)
Majority Black1.43***
[1.25,1.64]
1.29***
[1.13,1.46]
1.22**
[1.06,1.40]
1.17*
[1.01,1.36]
1.28***
[1.11,1.49]
Majority Hispanic1.45***
[1.25,1.69]
1.21*
[1.03,1.41]
1.20*
[1.02,1.41]
1.27**
[1.08,1.49]
1.13
[0.96,1.33]
Other1.24***
[1.10,1.39]
1.15**
[1.03,1.29]
1.08
[0.95,1.22]
1.16**
[1.04,1.31]
1.08
[0.94,1.23]
Percentage Poor1.18***
[1.13,1.25]
1.18***
[1.11,1.27]
Percentage of Household Income>$200K0.84*
[0.72,0.97]
0.87
[0.74,1.03]
Percentage with Pre-existing Health Conditions1.88***
[1.37,2.58]
0.69
[0.45,1.04]
  • *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001.

  • All models adjusted for proportion age 65 years and older, COVID-19 case rate, population size and zip code latitude and longitude coordinates. Percentage poor, percentage with household Income>$200K and percentage with prior health conditions were rescaled such that a unit change reflects a 10 percentage point change.