Excess all-cause deaths from negative binomial regression model, 22/2/2020 to 8/5/2020
| Week ending | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/3* | 20/3 | 27/3 | 3/4 | 10/4 | 17/4 | 24/4 | 1/5 | 8/5 | Total | |
| England | −305 (−782,152) | −274 (−690,126) | 914 (571,1245) | 5761 (5226,6270) | 7540 (6752,8276) | 11 654 (10766,12474) | 11 385 (10920,11831) | 7541 (7064,7997) | 2738 (2176,3269) | 47 243 (46671,47815) |
| Regions† | ||||||||||
| North East | 15 (−7,35) | −32 (−50,−14) | 13 (−12,37) | 219 (193,244) | 286 (244,326) | 604 (560,645) | 542 (510,572) | 365 (337,392) | 237 (215,259) | 2239 (2209,2270) |
| North West | −25 (−92,40) | −2 (−53,46) | 160 (115,203) | 709 (636,779) | 1110 (1011,1202) | 1766 (1663,1862) | 1696 (1638,1752) | 1098 (1047,1147) | 473 (403,538) | 6951 (6903,6999) |
| Yorkshire & Humber | −58 (−94,−23) | −71 (−116,−28) | −6 (−47,34) | 412 (345,475) | 435 (360,506) | 934 (860,1003) | 1053 (1011,1093) | 827 (777,874) | 350 (298,400) | 3886 (3849,3923) |
| East Midlands | −65 (−109,−22) | −1 (−49,45) | 36 (6,66) | 332 (296,366) | 525 (459,586) | 707 (622,785) | 798 (768,827) | 529 (477,577) | 221 (162,276) | 3096 (3060,3131) |
| West Midlands | 2 (−61,61) | 3 (−60,62) | −4 (−39,31) | 705 (639,767) | 1045 (944,1138) | 1410 (1308,1504) | 1402 (1336,1464) | 887 (826,945) | 329 (272,384) | 5794 (5746,5842) |
| East | −17 (−66,31) | −137 (−201,−77) | 69 (24,113) | 548 (492,602) | 773 (680,860) | 1277 (1171,1373) | 1141 (1080,1200) | 859 (809,907) | 237 (165,305) | 4801 (4755,4847) |
| London | −74 (−109,−40) | 15 (−31,59) | 353 (297,406) | 1527 (1474,1578) | 1832 (1767,1894) | 2315 (2240,2386) | 1814 (1774,1853) | 1026 (980,1069) | 320 (275,362) | 9219 (9185,9254) |
| South East | 17 (−66,97) | −30 (−87,24) | 257 (195,316) | 678 (595,758) | 916 (788,1036) | 1451 (1298,1590) | 1696 (1601,1786) | 1258 (1164,1347) | 343 (230,449) | 6656 (6588,6723) |
| South West | −62 (−140,10) | −35 (−85,13) | −12 (−49,25) | 399 (318,474) | 393 (292,486) | 700 (584,806) | 791 (732,848) | 422 (363,477) | 153 (78,224) | 2794 (2743,2845) |
| Wales | −43 (−100,9) | 22 (−12,55) | 62 (32,90) | 235 (196,272) | 228 (179,274) | 498 (447,545) | 437 (408,465) | 263 (234,290) | 67 (32,100) | 1757 (1730,1784) |
| Age groups† | ||||||||||
| All <1 | 6 (2,10) | −5 (−9,−2) | 3 (−4,8) | 5 (1,8) | −10 (−16,−5) | 1 (−4,5) | 8 (2,13) | 2 (0,5) | −16 (−23,−10) | 8 (5,11) |
| All 01–14 | 3 (−1,6) | −7 (−11,−4) | −5 (−8,−3) | 4 (2,5) | −6 (−8,−4) | −4 (−7,−3) | −5 (−7,−3) | −7 (−9,−5) | 3 (1,4) | −25 (−26,−23) |
| All 15–44 | 21 (7,35) | −9 (−22,4) | 21 (5,36) | 14 (−3,30) | 45 (2761) | 74 (53,92) | 114 (96,131) | 49 (27,69) | −38 (−66,−14) | 284 (271 297) |
| All 45–64 | 46 (20,72) | 13 (−20,46) | 138 (91,183) | 656 (594,715) | 875 (802,944) | 1066 (974,1151) | 1065 (1007,1120) | 685 (615,751) | 220 (137,296) | 4811 (4768,4853) |
| All 65–74 | −68 (−133,−5) | 1 (−53,53) | 123 (62,182) | 975 (869,1074) | 1091 (977,1199) | 1610 (1471,1738) | 1463 (1396,1528) | 924 (847,998) | 330 (234,421) | 7021 (6963,7078) |
| All 75–84 | −32 (−16,293) | 22 (−97,136) | 391 (291,487) | 2053 (1912,2187) | 2574 (2352,2781) | 3672 (3441,3887) | 3561 (3446,3672) | 2128 (2001,2250) | 743 (576,900) | 14 414 (14304,14524) |
| All 85+ | −303 (−600,−23) | −299 (−549,−62) | 237 (51,416) | 2042 (1777,2292) | 2956 (2554,3325) | 5224 (4789,5619) | 5164 (4923,5393) | 3707 (3482,3920) | 1446 (1221,1658) | 20 173 (19975,20370) |
| Males <1 | −4 (−7,−2) | −3 (−7,1) | 1 (−2,4) | 0 (−4,2) | 1 (−4,4) | −5 (−8,−1) | 7 (3,11) | 4 (2,6) | −9 (−13,−6) | 0 (−2,2) |
| Males 01–14 | −1 (−3,1) | −2 (−5,0) | −5 (−7,−3) | −3 (−5,−1) | −4 (−6,−2) | −4 (−6,−3) | 0 (−2,1) | −6 (−7,−4) | 5 (3,6) | −21 (−22,−19) |
| Males 15–44 | 13 (0,25) | −2 (−13,8) | 14 (1,26) | 9 (−2,20) | 17 (3,30) | 38 (22,53) | 63 (48,77) | 18 (−1,35) | −26 (−45,−9) | 143 (133 153) |
| Males 45–64 | 45 (22,67) | 17 (−5,38) | 68 (39,95) | 442 (407,475) | 568 (525,609) | 666 (610,718) | 704 (665,741) | 453 (410,494) | 166 (113,215) | 3155 (3128,3181) |
| Males 65–74 | −17 (−52,18) | 4 (−34,41) | 121 (94,146) | 678 (620,732) | 724 (654,791) | 1044 (966,1117) | 981 (931,1028) | 595 (551,637) | 185 (126,241) | 4662 (4628,4696) |
| Males 75–84 | −3 (−71,63) | 26 (−32,82) | 264 (209,317) | 1271 (1193,1346) | 1611 (1486,1728) | 2113 (1999,2219) | 2023 (1954,2090) | 1131 (1061,1198) | 424 (338,506) | 8540 (8481,8598) |
| Males 85+ | −51 (−15,649) | −58 (−14,322) | 193 (115,268) | 1088 (991,1180) | 1540 (1376,1691) | 2240 (2072,2394) | 2143 (2066,2217) | 1420 (1352,1485) | 465 (369,556) | 9086 (9013,9159) |
| Females <1 | 10 (7,13) | −3 (−6,0) | 1 (−3,5) | 5 (2,8) | −11 (−14,−8) | 5 (3,7) | 1 (−1,3) | −2 (−5,0) | −7 (−11,−3) | 8 (6,10) |
| Females 01–14 | 4 (1,6) | −5 (−7,−3) | 0 (−2,1) | 6 (5,8) | −2 (−3,−1) | 0 (−2,2) | −5 (−5,−4) | −1 (−3,0) | −2 (−4,−1) | −4 (−5,−3) |
| Females 15–44 | 9 (4,13) | −7 (−13,−2) | 7 (0,13) | 5 (−4,13) | 27 (2034) | 35 (27,43) | 51 (46,56) | 31 (24,39) | −13 (−25,−2) | 142 (137,147) |
| Females 45–64 | 1 (−8,11) | −4 (−18,10) | 70 (44,95) | 214 (184,242) | 306 (272,339) | 399 (362,434) | 361 (339,381) | 232 (202,259) | 53 (22,83) | 1653 (1635,1671) |
| Females 65–74 | −52 (−86,−19) | −4 (−23,15) | 2 (−38,39) | 297 (248,343) | 367 (321,410) | 565 (501,624) | 482 (459,504) | 329 (294,363) | 146 (106,183) | 2360 (2334,2386) |
| Females 75–84 | −29 (−9333) | −5 (−71,58) | 126 (76,174) | 780 (715,842) | 962 (862,1055) | 1558 (1439,1667) | 1536 (1484,1585) | 998 (934,1059) | 320 (237,398) | 5890 (5836,5944) |
| Females 85+ | −254 (−452,−69) | −243 (−410,−85) | 41 (−76,152) | 950 (777,1111) | 1413 (1172,1634) | 2980 (2713,3223) | 3019 (2854,3174) | 2290 (2133,2437) | 982 (851,1107) | 47 243 (46671,47815) |
*Week first COVID-19 related deaths were officially reported.
†Sums across age groups and regions do not necessarily correspond to the England-Wales aggregate (due to missing postcodes or ages for some deaths and different models used across population strata).