Excess all-cause deaths, minus those with documented COVID-19 infection, per 100 000 population, from negative binomial regression model, 22/2/2020 to 8/5/2020
| Week ending | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/3* | 20/3 | 27/3 | 3/4 | 10/4 | 17/4 | 24/4 | 1/5 | 8/5 | Total | |
| England | 0 (−1,0) | −1 (−1,0) | 1 (0,1) | 4 (3,5) | 2 (1,4) | 5 (3,6) | 5 (5,6) | 3 (2,3) | −2 (−3,−1) | 17 (1618) |
| Regions† | ||||||||||
| North East | −1 (−1,0) | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (0,1) | −1 (−2,−1) | 0 (−1,1) | 3 (2,4) | 0 (−2,1) | 5 (3,6) | 5 (3,6) | 12 (11,13) |
| North West | −1 (−1,0) | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (−1,0) | 0 (−1,0) | 1 (1,2) | 4 (3,5) | 3 (1,4) | 6 (4,7) | 7 (6,7) | 20 (19,21) |
| Yorkshire & Humber | 0 (−1,0) | 0 (−1,1) | −1 (−2,0) | −1 (−2,−1) | 0 (−1,0) | 4 (3,5) | 1 (0,2) | 4 (3,6) | 5 (5,6) | 14 (14,15) |
| East Midlands | −1 (−2,0) | −1 (−2,0) | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (−1,1) | 0 (0,1) | 3 (2,4) | 2 (1,3) | 3 (1,5) | 5 (4,5) | 12 (11,12) |
| West Midlands | −1 (−1,0) | −2 (−3,−1) | 0 (−1,1) | 0 (−1,1) | −1 (−2,−1) | 5 (4,6) | 4 (2,6) | 7 (5,8) | 9 (8,10) | 26 (25,26) |
| East | −2 (−3,−1) | −2 (−3,−1) | 0 (−1,1) | −2 (−3,−1) | 1 (0,2) | 4 (3,5) | 3 (2,5) | 7 (5,9) | 5 (4,6) | 21 (20,21) |
| London | 1 (0,1) | 0 (−1,0) | −1 (−1,0) | 0 (−1,0) | 1 (1,2) | 4 (4,5) | 4 (3,4) | 6 (5,6) | 5 (4,5) | 20 (2021) |
| South East | −2 (−2,−1) | 0 (−1,1) | 0 (−1,1) | 0 (−1,0) | 2 (1,3) | 3 (2,4) | 2 (1,3) | 4 (2,5) | 5 (4,6) | 17 (16,18) |
| South West | −1 (−2,0) | −1 (−3,0) | −1 (−2,0) | −1 (−1,0) | 0 (−1,0) | 4 (3,6) | 2 (0,3) | 4 (2,5) | 5 (4,6) | 11 (10,12) |
| Wales | −2 (−3,−1) | −2 (−4,−1) | −1 (−3,0) | 1 (−1,2) | 1 (0,2) | 3 (2,4) | −2 (−4,−1) | 3 (1,4) | 1 (0,2) | −1 (−1,0) |
| Age groups† | ||||||||||
| All <1 | 1 (1,2) | 0 (−1,0) | 1 (0,2) | 1 (0,2) | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (0,1) | 2 (1,2) | 0 (0,1) | −3 (−4,−2) | 1 (1,2) |
| All 01–14 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) |
| All 15–44 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | −1 (−1,−1) |
| All 45–64 | 0 (0,1) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (0,1) | 2 (1,2) | 1 (0,1) | 1 (0,1) | 2 (1,2) | 1 (1,2) | −1 (−1,0) | 6 (6,7) |
| All 65–74 | 0 (−1,1) | 1 (0,2) | 2 (1,3) | 7 (6,9) | 1 (−1,3) | 4 (2,6) | 6 (5,7) | 2 (1,3) | −3 (−4,−1) | 21 (20,22) |
| All 75–84 | −4 (−8,0) | −3 (−6,0) | 3 (0,6) | 19 (16,23) | 7 (1,13) | 20 (13,26) | 23 (19,26) | 7 (4,10) | −13 (−18,−9) | 59 (56,62) |
| All 85+ | −20 (−40,−1) | −23 (−40,−7) | 3 (−9,15) | 58 (4075) | 58 (31,82) | 119 (91,146) | 109 (93,124) | 60 (45,74) | −27 (−41,−13) | 338 (325,351) |
| Males <1 | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (−2,1) | 1 (0,2) | 0 (−1,1) | 1 (−1,2) | −1 (−2,0) | 2 (1,4) | 1 (1,2) | −3 (−4,−2) | 0 (−1,0) |
| Males 01–14 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) |
| Males 15–44 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (−1,0) | −1 (−1,−1) |
| Males 45–64 | 1 (0,1) | 0 (0,1) | 0 (0,1) | 2 (2,3) | 1 (1,2) | 0 (0,1) | 2 (2,3) | 1 (1,2) | −1 (−1,0) | 8 (8,8) |
| Males 65–74 | 1 (0,2) | 1 (0,3) | 3 (3,4) | 11 (9,13) | 2 (−1,4) | 5 (2,7) | 9 (7,10) | 2 (1,4) | −4 (−6,−2) | 30 (29,31) |
| Males 75–84 | −3 (−7,1) | −2 (−6,1) | 6 (3,9) | 25 (2130) | 9 (1,16) | 21 (14,27) | 26 (22,30) | 7 (3,11) | −17 (−22,−12) | 72 (68,75) |
| Males 85+ | −6 (−2511) | −12 (−28,2) | 19 (6,31) | 84 (67 100) | 71 (42,98) | 102 (73,128) | 95 (82,107) | 35 (23,46) | −50 (−67,−34) | 337 (324,350) |
| Females <1 | 4 (3,5) | 0 (−1,0) | 1 (0,2) | 2 (1,3) | −3 (−4,−2) | 2 (1,3) | 1 (0,1) | −1 (−1,0) | −2 (−4,−1) | 3 (2,3) |
| Females 01–14 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) |
| Females 15–44 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) |
| Females 45–64 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (0,1) | 1 (1,1) | 1 (0,1) | 1 (1,1) | 1 (1,1) | 1 (0,1) | −1 (−1,0) | 5 (4,5) |
| Females 65–74 | −1 (−2,0) | 1 (0,1) | 0 (−1,1) | 4 (2,5) | 1 (−1,2) | 4 (2,5) | 3 (3,4) | 2 (1,3) | −1 (−3,0) | 12 (12,13) |
| Females 75–84 | −4 (−8,−1) | −3 (−7,0) | 1 (−2,3) | 14 (11,18) | 6 (1,10) | 19 (13,25) | 20 (17,23) | 7 (4,10) | −10 (−14,−6) | 50 (47,53) |
| Females 85+ | −28 (−49,−8) | −28 (−47,−11) | −6 (−18,6) | 43 (24,60) | 50 (24,74) | 131 (102,156) | 119 (101,135) | 75 (59,91) | −13 (−26,1) | 343 (329,356) |
*Week first COVID-19 related deaths were officially reported.
†Sums across age groups and regions do not necessarily correspond to the England-Wales aggregate due to missing postcodes or ages for some deaths and different models used across population strata.