Excess all-cause deaths per 100 000 population from negative binomial regression model, 22/2/2020 to 8/5/2020
| Week ending | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/3* | 20/3 | 27/3 | 3/4 | 10/4 | 17/4 | 24/4 | 1/5 | 8/5 | Total | |
| England | 0 (−1,0) | 0 (−1,0) | 2 (1,2) | 10 (9,11) | 13 (11,14) | 20 (18,21) | 19 (18,20) | 13 (12,13) | 5 (4,5) | 79 (78,80) |
| Regions† | ||||||||||
| North East | 0 (0,1) | −1 (−2,−1) | 0 (−1,1) | 8 (7,9) | 11 (9,12) | 22 (21,24) | 20 (19,21) | 14 (13,15) | 9 (8,10) | 83 (82,85) |
| North West | 0 (−1,0) | 0 (−1,1) | 2 (1,3) | 10 (9,10) | 15 (14,16) | 24 (22,25) | 23 (22,24) | 15 (14,16) | 6 (5,7) | 94 (93,95) |
| Yorkshire & Humber | −1 (−2,0) | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (−1,1) | 7 (6,9) | 8 (7,9) | 17 (16,18) | 19 (18,20) | 15 (14,16) | 6 (5,7) | 70 (70,71) |
| East Midlands | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (−1,1) | 1 (0,1) | 7 (6,8) | 11 (9,12) | 15 (13,16) | 16 (16,17) | 11 (10,12) | 5 (3,6) | 64 (63,64) |
| West Midlands | 0 (−1,1) | 0 (−1,1) | 0 (−1,1) | 12 (11,13) | 18 (16,19) | 24 (22,25) | 24 (22,25) | 15 (14,16) | 6 (5,6) | 97 (96,98) |
| East | 0 (−1,1) | −2 (−3,−1) | 1 (0,2) | 9 (8,10) | 12 (11,14) | 20 (19,22) | 18 (17,19) | 14 (13,14) | 4 (3,5) | 77 (76,77) |
| London | −1 (−1,0) | 0 (0,1) | 4 (3,5) | 17 (17,18) | 20 (20,21) | 26 (25,27) | 20 (20,21) | 11 (11,12) | 4 (3,4) | 102 (102,103) |
| South East | 0 (−1,1) | 0 (−1,0) | 3 (2,4) | 7 (7,8) | 10 (9,11) | 16 (14,17) | 18 (17,19) | 14 (13,15) | 4 (2,5) | 72 (71,73) |
| South West | −1 (−2,0) | −1 (−1,0) | 0 (−1,1) | 7 (6,8) | 7 (5,9) | 13 (10,14) | 14 (13,15) | 7 (6,8) | 3 (1,4) | 49 (49,50) |
| Wales | −1 (−3,0) | 1 (0,2) | 2 (1,3) | 7 (6,9) | 7 (6,9) | 16 (14,17) | 14 (13,15) | 8 (7,9) | 2 (1,3) | 55 (55,56) |
| Age groups† | ||||||||||
| All <1 | 1 (1,2) | 0 (−1,0) | 1 (0,2) | 1 (0,2) | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (0,1) | 2 (1,2) | 0 (0,1) | −3 (−4,−2) | 1 (1,2) |
| All 01–14 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) |
| All 15–44 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (0,1) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (1,1) |
| All 45–64 | 0 (0,1) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (1,1) | 4 (4,5) | 6 (5,6) | 7 (6,8) | 7 (7,7) | 4 (4,5) | 1 (1,2) | 31 (31,32) |
| All 65–74 | 0 (−1,1) | 1 (0,2) | 3 (2,4) | 18 (16,19) | 20 (18,21) | 28 (26,30) | 26 (25,27) | 15 (14,17) | 6 (4,7) | 118 (117,119) |
| All 75–84 | −4 (−7,0) | −2 (−5,1) | 8 (5,11) | 53 (49,56) | 67 (60,72) | 96 (90,102) | 93 (90,96) | 57 (54,61) | 20 (15,24) | 388 (385,391) |
| All 85+ | −20 (−40,−1) | −20 (−37,−4) | 16 (4,27) | 135 (117,151) | 195 (168,220) | 345 (316,371) | 341 (325,356) | 245 (230,259) | 95 (811,09) | 1331 (1318,1344) |
| Males <1 | −1 (−2,0) | 0 (−2,1) | 1 (0,2) | 0 (−1,1) | 1 (−1,2) | −1 (−2,0) | 2 (1,4) | 1 (1,2) | −3 (−4,−2) | 0 (−1,1) |
| Males 01–14 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) |
| Males 15–44 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (0,1) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (1,1) |
| Males 45–64 | 1 (0,1) | 0 (0,1) | 1 (1,1) | 6 (5,6) | 8 (7,8) | 9 (8,10) | 9 (9,10) | 6 (5,7) | 2 (2,3) | 42 (41,42) |
| Males 65–74 | 1 (0,2) | 2 (0,3) | 6 (5,7) | 25 (23,27) | 27 (25,29) | 38 (36,40) | 36 (34,37) | 21 (19,22) | 6 (4,8) | 162 (161,164) |
| Males 75–84 | −3 (−7,1) | −1 (−5,2) | 13 (10,16) | 72 (67,77) | 92 (85,99) | 122 (115,128) | 117 (112,121) | 67 (63,71) | 25 (20,30) | 503 (500,507) |
| Males 85+ | −6 (−25,11) | −8 (−23,7) | 37 (24,49) | 195 (178,210) | 274 (245,301) | 398 (368,424) | 380 (367,393) | 250 (238,262) | 82 (65,98) | 1602 (1589,1615) |
| Females <1 | 4 (3,5) | 0 (−1,0) | 1 (0,2) | 2 (1,3) | −3 (−4,−2) | 2 (1,3) | 1 (0,1) | −1 (−1,0) | −2 (−4,−1) | 3 (2,3) |
| Females 01–14 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) |
| Females 15–44 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (1,1) |
| Females 45–64 | 0 (0,0) | 0 (0,0) | 1 (1,1) | 3 (2,3) | 4 (4,4) | 5 (5,6) | 5 (4,5) | 3 (3,3) | 1 (0,1) | 21 (21,22) |
| Females 65–74 | −1 (−2,0) | 1 (0,2) | 1 (0,2) | 11 (9,12) | 13 (12,14) | 19 (17,21) | 17 (16,17) | 11 (9,12) | 5 (3,6) | 76 (75,77) |
| Females 75–84 | −4 (−8,−1) | −3 (−6,0) | 4 (1,6) | 36 (33,39) | 45 (40,50) | 75 (68,80) | 74 (71,76) | 49 (46,52) | 16 (12,20) | 291 (289,294) |
| Females 85+ | −28 (−49,−8) | −26 (−45,−9) | 4 (−9,15) | 99 (81,117) | 148 (122,172) | 313 (285,339) | 318 (300,334) | 241 (225,257) | 104 (90,117) | 1173 (1160,1186) |
*Week first COVID-19 related deaths were officially reported.
†Sums across age groups and regions do not necessarily correspond to the England-Wales aggregate due to missing postcodes or ages for some deaths and different models used across population strata.