Unadjusted | Adjusted for temperature | Adjusted for off and on prices of beer and wine/spirits | Adjusted for temperature and on and off prices of beer and wine/spirits | |||||||||||||
β | Lower CI | Upper CI | P value | β | Lower CI | Upper CI | P value | β | Lower CI | Upper CI | P value | β | Lower CI | Upper CI | P value | |
AUDIT-C scores | ||||||||||||||||
Intercept | 2.785 | 2.723 | 2.847 | <0.001 | 2.740 | 2.554 | 2.926 | <0.001 | 5.055 | −5.893 | 16.003 | 0.365 | 3.484 | −7.775 | 14.743 | 0.544 |
Preintervention trend | −0.003 | −0.008 | 0.002 | 0.306 | −0.002 | −0.007 | 0.003 | 0.325 | <0.001 | −0.010 | 0.010 | 0.975 | <0.001 | −0.010 | 0.010 | 0.977 |
Step-level change | 0.001 | −0.079 | 0.099 | 0.824 | 0.011 | −0.078 | 0.100 | 0.805 | 0.027 | −0.081 | 0.135 | 0.619 | 0.029 | −0.079 | 0.137 | 0.596 |
Change in trend | 0.008 | 0.001 | 0.015 | 0.015 | 0.008 | 0.001 | 0.015 | 0.020 | 0.007 | −0.008 | 0.022 | 0.343 | 0.008 | −0.007 | 0.023 | 0.314 |
Graduated frequency | ||||||||||||||||
Intercept | 9.861 | 9.134 | 10.588 | <0.001 | 9.737 | 8.882 | 10.592 | <0.001 | −0.567 | −58.095 | 56.961 | 0.985 | 7.858 | −62.354 | 78.070 | 0.826 |
Step-level change | 0.105 | −0.652 | 0.862 | 0.785 | 0.089 | −0.671 | 0.849 | 0.818 | 0.047 | −0.715 | 0.809 | 0.905 | −0.007 | −0.799 | 0.785 | 0.987 |
Alcohol taxation data | ||||||||||||||||
Intercept | 0.797 | 0.776 | 0.818 | <0.001 | 0.77 | 0.679 | 0.861 | <0.001 | 7.696 | −1.32 | 16.713 | 0.105 | 7.364 | −2.242 | 16.97 | 0.144 |
Preinter trend | −0.001 | −0.002 | 0.001 | 0.405 | −0.001 | −0.002 | 0.001 | 0.451 | −0.007 | −0.015 | 0.001 | 0.116 | −0.006 | −0.015 | 0.003 | 0.174 |
Step-level change | 0.006 | −0.025 | 0.036 | 0.715 | 0.005 | −0.026 | 0.037 | 0.747 | −0.060 | −0.144 | 0.024 | 0.174 | −0.056 | −0.144 | 0.032 | 0.223 |
Change in trend | 0.001 | −0.001 | 0.004 | 0.248 | 0.001 | −0.001 | 0.004 | 0.294 | 0.003 | −0.007 | 0.013 | 0.559 | 0.003 | −0.008 | 0.014 | 0.577 |
Assault hospitalisations | ||||||||||||||||
Intercept | 2249 | 2160 | 2342 | <0.001 | 1786 | 1592 | 2004 | <0.001 | 488×104 | 4395 | 543×107 | <0.001 | 236 874 | 739 | 759×105 | <0.001 |
Preinter trend | 1.000 | 0.997 | 1.003 | 0.934 | 1.001 | 0.998 | 1.003 | 0.757 | 1.002 | 0.996 | 1.008 | 0.546 | 1.001 | 0.996 | 1.006 | 0.807 |
Step-level change | 0.927 | 0.875 | 0.983 | 0.015 | 0.927 | 0.878 | 0.978 | 0.009 | 0.941 | 0.885 | 1.000 | 0.061 | 0.925 | 0.875 | 0.977 | 0.009 |
Change in trend | 1.005 | 1.001 | 1.009 | 0.030 | 1.004 | 1.000 | 1.008 | 0.080 | 0.997 | 0.989 | 1.005 | 0.440 | 0.999 | 0.992 | 1.007 | 0.867 |
Alcohol poisoning hospitalisations | ||||||||||||||||
Intercept | 173 | 156 | 192 | <0.001 | 149 | 129 | 172 | <0.001 | 86 236 | 0 | 415×108 | 0.098 | 6267 | 0 | 569×107 | 0.220 |
Preinter trend | 1.009 | 1.001 | 1.017 | 0.040 | 1.008 | 1.000 | 1.016 | 0.061 | 1.009 | 0.996 | 1.022 | 0.189 | 1.008 | 0.995 | 1.022 | 0.221 |
Step level change | 0.846 | 0.735 | 0.975 | 0.026 | 0.874 | 0.760 | 1.004 | 0.064 | 0.862 | 0.749 | 0.993 | 0.047 | 0.868 | 0.751 | 1.004 | 0.064 |
Change in trend | 0.996 | 0.984 | 1.007 | 0.443 | 0.995 | 0.983 | 1.006 | 0.383 | 0.992 | 0.973 | 1.011 | 0.413 | 0.993 | 0.974 | 1.013 | 0.500 |
Rows in bold are significant effects at the 0.05 level. All models control for seasonality.
AUDIT-C, Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test—Consumption.