Table 3

Association between change in employment protection and pathways out of paid employment among higher-, intermediate- or lower-educated workers in 23 European countries of a rotating panel (EU-SILC) between 2003 and 2014

Increase in exit from paid employment
UnemploymentEarly retirementDisabilityEconomic inactivityAll pathways
OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)
Decrease in employment protection of permanent workers
Among higher educated workers0.67 (0.34–1.30)4.04 (1.88–8.66)1.23 (0.58–2.57)1.41 (0.80–2.47)1.22 (0.91–1.63)
Among intermediate educated workers0.86 (0.45–1.66)3.01 (1.41–6.40)*1.50 (0.84–2.66)1.27 (0.72–2.25)1.26 (0.95–1.67)
Among lower educated workers0.97 (0.46–2.04)*3.47 (1.79–6.75)1.61 (0.94–2.75)1.15 (0.69–1.92)1.34 (0.94–1.93)
Decrease in employment protection of temporary workers
Among higher educated workers1.21 (0.95–1.54)6.21 (2.82–13.66)1.30 (0.81–2.08)1.14 (0.68–1.94)1.53 (1.17–2.00)
Among intermediate educated workers1.29 (0.99–1.69)5.74 (2.81–11.74)1.32 (0.80–2.18)1.02 (0.57–1.81)1.50 (1.15–1.96)
Among lower educated workers1.47 (1.13–1.90)*6.40 (3.26–12.53)1.38 (0.83–2.30)0.94 (0.51–1.75)1.63 (1.24–2.15)
  • OLS regression models including age, sex, education, GDP and employment protection×education with fixed effects for country and year.

  • *Interaction employment protection×education (p<0.05).

  • See online supplementary table S5 for the value of OR’s for interactions.

  • EU-SILC, European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions; GDP, gross domestic product; OLS, ordinary least squares.