Table 1

Trends in life expectancy at birth for England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and the UK, 2012–2018, compared with projected trends based on 1980–2011, with projections to 2028

Year	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027	2028
England males
Median projection	79.36	79.63	79.90	80.16	80.43	80.69	80.96	81.22	81.49	81.76	82.03	82.30	82.57	82.84	83.10	83.37	83.63
Upper 95th percentile	79.66	80.05	80.41	80.76	81.09	81.43	81.76	82.08	82.39	82.70	83.01	83.31	83.63	83.93	84.24	84.55	84.86
Lower 95th percentile	79.06	79.20	79.37	79.55	79.75	79.96	80.17	80.38	80.59	80.81	81.05	81.26	81.49	81.71	81.94	82.16	82.38
Actual trend	79.26	79.27	79.51	79.34	79.52	79.59	79.55
England females
Median projection	83.16	83.36	83.56	83.76	83.96	84.15	84.35	84.54	84.74	84.94	85.14	85.34	85.54	85.74	85.94	86.13	86.33
Upper 95th percentile	83.52	83.87	84.18	84.48	84.75	85.04	85.31	85.57	85.82	86.07	86.33	86.56	86.82	87.06	87.31	87.56	87.81
Lower 95th percentile	82.80	82.85	82.92	83.02	83.14	83.26	83.40	83.52	83.65	83.79	83.96	84.08	84.24	84.38	84.54	84.68	84.82
Actual trend	82.92	82.99	83.23	82.96	83.11	83.23	83.20
Northern Ireland males
Median projection	78.16	78.47	78.79	79.10	79.41	79.71	80.01	80.31	80.63	80.95	81.26	81.57	81.88	82.19	82.50	82.81	83.10
Upper 95th percentile	78.78	79.36	79.85	80.34	80.77	81.25	81.68	82.10	82.50	82.90	83.30	83.68	84.09	84.47	84.87	85.27	85.67
Lower 95th percentile	77.54	77.59	77.69	77.82	77.99	78.18	78.38	78.56	78.74	78.95	79.20	79.39	79.63	79.85	80.07	80.29	80.50
Actual trend	78.05	78.07	78.61	78.17	78.75	78.38	78.84
Northern Ireland females
Median projection	82.64	82.88	83.13	83.37	83.61	83.84	84.07	84.30	84.55	84.80	85.04	85.28	85.52	85.76	86.00	86.24	86.46
Upper 95th percentile	83.34	83.88	84.32	84.76	85.14	85.56	85.94	86.30	86.64	86.98	87.33	87.64	88.00	88.31	88.66	88.99	89.33
Lower 95th percentile	81.95	81.90	81.89	81.94	82.02	82.12	82.24	82.34	82.43	82.56	82.74	82.84	83.00	83.14	83.28	83.42	83.55
Actual trend	82.26	82.22	82.38	82.22	82.27	82.43	82.44
Scotland males
Median projection	76.74	76.99	77.23	77.48	77.72	77.96	78.20	78.43	78.68	78.93	79.17	79.42	79.66	79.91	80.15	80.39	80.62
Upper 95th percentile	77.18	77.61	77.98	78.35	78.68	79.04	79.37	79.69	79.99	80.30	80.61	80.90	81.22	81.51	81.82	82.12	82.42
Lower 95th percentile	76.31	76.37	76.46	76.58	76.72	76.88	77.05	77.20	77.35	77.53	77.73	77.89	78.08	78.26	78.44	78.62	78.79
Actual trend	76.79	77.02	77.32	76.95	76.96	77.13	77.05
Scotland females
Median projection	81.00	81.18	81.37	81.55	81.73	81.90	82.08	82.26	82.44	82.63	82.81	82.99	83.18	83.36	83.54	83.72	83.89
Upper 95th percentile	81.53	81.94	82.27	82.60	82.88	83.20	83.49	83.76	84.02	84.28	84.54	84.77	85.04	85.28	85.54	85.79	86.05
Lower 95th percentile	80.48	80.44	80.44	80.48	80.53	80.61	80.70	80.78	80.85	80.95	81.08	81.16	81.28	81.38	81.49	81.59	81.70
Actual trend	80.80	81.04	81.34	81.03	81.08	81.16	81.01
Wales males
Median projection	78.34	78.60	78.85	79.10	79.36	79.60	79.85	80.09	80.35	80.61	80.86	81.11	81.37	81.62	81.87	82.12	82.35
Upper 95th percentile	78.96	79.48	79.91	80.35	80.72	81.13	81.51	81.87	82.21	82.55	82.90	83.22	83.57	83.89	84.24	84.57	84.91
Lower 95th percentile	77.72	77.72	77.75	77.83	77.94	78.07	78.21	78.34	78.46	78.62	78.81	78.94	79.12	79.28	79.45	79.60	79.76
Actual trend	78.23	78.16	78.79	78.27	78.23	78.45	78.23
Wales females
Median projection	82.52	82.72	82.92	83.11	83.30	83.48	83.68	83.86	84.06	84.26	84.45	84.65	84.84	85.04	85.23	85.42	85.60
Upper 95th percentile	83.11	83.56	83.92	84.29	84.59	84.94	85.25	85.55	85.82	86.10	86.39	86.64	86.93	87.19	87.47	87.74	88.02
Lower 95th percentile	81.94	81.89	81.88	81.90	81.96	82.04	82.13	82.20	82.27	82.37	82.51	82.59	82.71	82.82	82.94	83.04	83.14
Actual trend	82.09	82.13	82.61	82.03	82.42	82.39	82.19
UK males
Median projection	79.04	79.30	79.57	79.83	80.10	80.36	80.63	80.89	81.16	81.42	81.69	81.96	82.22	82.49	82.76	83.02	83.28
Upper 95th percentile	79.34	79.73	80.09	80.44	80.76	81.11	81.43	81.75	82.06	82.37	82.68	82.98	83.29	83.59	83.90	84.21	84.52
Lower 95th percentile	78.74	78.88	79.04	79.22	79.41	79.62	79.83	80.04	80.24	80.46	80.70	80.90	81.13	81.36	81.58	81.80	82.02
Actual trend	78.95	78.98	79.25	79.04	79.21	79.28	79.24
UK females
Median projection	82.91	83.11	83.31	83.50	83.70	83.89	84.09	84.28	84.48	84.68	84.88	85.08	85.28	85.48	85.67	85.87	86.06
Upper 95th percentile	83.28	83.64	83.94	84.25	84.52	84.81	85.09	85.35	85.60	85.85	86.10	86.34	86.60	86.84	87.09	87.34	87.59
Lower 95th percentile	82.54	82.58	82.65	82.74	82.85	82.98	83.11	83.23	83.35	83.49	83.66	83.78	83.93	84.08	84.22	84.36	84.51
Actual trend	82.66	82.74	82.99	82.71	82.87	82.98	82.93