Results of hurdle regression models
| Log model | Stroke | MI | COPD | GIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| for zero counts | Est (95% CI) | Es. (95% CI) | Est (95% CI) | Est (95% CI) |
| Intercept | 0.173 (0.083 to 0.262) | 0.178 (0.084 to 0.273) | 0.027 (0.000 to 0.193) | 0.217 (0.121 to 0.314) |
| After | 0.062 (0.000 to 0.129) | 0.074 (0.000 to 0.163) | 0.190 (0.087 to 0.293) | 0.230 (0.159 to 0.301) |
| Men | 1.802 (1.731 to 1.872) | 1.841 (1.760 to 1.922) | 2.160 (2.028 to 2.292) | 1.609 (1.525 to 1.693) |
| Men* after | 0.965 (0.879 to 1.052) | 0.894 (0.789 to 0.999) | 0.755 (0.609 to 0.900) | 0.895 (0.801 to 0.988) |
| Age 70–79 | 0.528 (0.438 to 0.619) | 0.465 (0.375 to 0.555) | 0.597 (0.444 to 0.751) | 0.458 (0.360 to 0.557) |
| Age 80–89 | 0.347 (0.247 to 0.446) | 0.278 (0.170 to 0.386) | 0.435 (0.244 to 0.626) | 0.287 (0.168 to 0.407) |
| Age 90+ | 0.321 (0.143 to 0.499) | 0.265 (0.049 to 0.480) | 0.658 (0.134 to 1.183) | 0.230 (0.000 to 0.538) |
| NB model for positive counts | Stroke Est (95% CI) | MI Est (95% CI) | COPD Est (95% CI) | GIC Est (95% CI) |
| Intercept | 3.634 (3.615 to 3.654) | 3.535 (3.513 to 3.558) | 5.126 (5.101 to 5.152) | 3.463 (3.437 to 3.490) |
| lin spl (Temp Dist)1 | 0.944 (0.933 to 0.955) | 0.948 (0.935 to 0.961) | 0.910 (0.896 to 0.925) | 0.871 (0.856 to 0.887) |
| lin spl (Temp Dist)2 | 0.872 (0.861 to 0.884) | 0.877 (0.863 to 0.890) | 0.801 (0.787 to 0.816) | 0.787 (0.771 to 0.802) |
| After | 1.727 (1.715 to 1.739) | 1.638 (1.624 to 1.652) | 1.291 (1.275 to 1.307) | 1.350 (1.331 to 1.368) |
| lin spl (Temp Dist)1*after | 0.937 (0.922 to 0.951) | 0.944 (0.928 to 0.961) | 1.056 (1.037 to 1.075) | 1.062 (1.040 to 1.084) |
| lin spl(Temp Dist)2*after | 0.983 (0.968 to 0.998) | 0.955 (0.938 to 0.972) | 1.241 (1.221 to 1.261) | 1.166 (1.142–1.189) |
| Men | 0.821 (0.806 to 0.836) | 0.796 (0.778 to 0.814) | 0.855 (0.832 to 0.878) | 0.859 (0.838 to 0.881) |
| Men*after | 1.113 (1.102 to 1.124) | 1.112 (1.099 to 1.124) | 1.078 (1.063 to 1.093) | 1.097 (1.079 to 1.114) |
| Age 70–79 | 1.116 (1.097 to 1.135) | 1.143 (1.123 to 1.163) | 1.079 (1.053 to 1.105) | 1.132 (1.106 to 1.157) |
| Age 80–89 | 1.161 (1.141 to 1.181) | 1.240 (1.217 to 1.263) | 1.097 (1.066 to 1.129) | 1.216 (1.187 to 1.246) |
| Age 90+ | 1.129 (1.094 to 1.164) | 1.230 (1.186 to 1.274) | 1.070 (0.981 to 1.158) | 1.277 (1.206 to 1.348) |
| Number of observations | 217 000 | 157 680 | 88 712 | 114 961 |
| Number of groups | 24 146 | 17 218 | 9865 | 14 393 |
| VAR Ind RE Log Model | 4.60 | 3.90 | 6.05 | 3.87 |
| VAR Ind RE NB Model | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| Overdisp Par NB Model | 11.20 | 15.50 | 13.90 | 8.55 |
COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; GIC, gastrointestinal cancers; lin spl, linear spline, MI, myocardial infarction; Temp Dis, temporal distance to hospital admission; Est, estimate; VAR Ind RE, variance individual random effect; NB Model, negative bionomial model; Overdisp Par, overdispersion.