Table 3

Associations of three interventions on alcohol-related motor vehicle crash rates per 10 000 000 population, Concepción, 1 January 2010—31 December 2017 (ARMA (2,0)) for residuals

Naïve modelUber-oriented modelFull model
β95% CIP-valueβ95% CIP-valueβ95% CIP-value
Time0.003−0.002 to 0.0080.269−0.006−0.014 to 0.0030.195−0.006−0.014 to 0.0030.189
Zero tolerance law−0.676−1.424 to 0.0720.077−0.108−0.907 to 0.6900.790−0.109−0.896 to 0.6770.785
Zero tolerance law change in trend0.008−0.004 to 0.0190.1850.008−0.003 to 0.0190.178
Emilia law−0.195−0.908 to 0.5180.591−0.694−1.468 to 0.0810.079−1.024−1.867 to −0.1810.017
Emilia law change in trend0.0140.002 to 0.0260.0260.0210.007 to 0.0350.004
Uber0.463−0.195 to 1.1210.168−0.627−1.589 to 0.3350.201−0.545−1.498 to 0.4050.259
Uber trend−0.018−0.037 to 0.0010.070
Constant3.0512.630 to 3.472<0.0013.5512.966 to 4.135<0.0013.5492.974 to 4.124<0.001
  • Autoregressive, Akaike information criterion and Ljung-Box test values for each model are available in online supplementary Appendix F.