Orthogonalised impulse response functions from vector-autoregressive models of the estimated short-term effect of affordability of alcohol on alcohol-related mortality according to education among women, Finland in 1988–2007 and Sweden in 1991–2008
Country and education | Seasonally unadjusted VAR | Seasonally adjusted VAR | |||
Lags | OIRF | 95% CI | OIRF | 95% CI | |
Finland | |||||
Tertiary | 1 | 0.015 | −0.064 to 0.094 | 0.019 | −0.080 to 0.084 |
Secondary | 1 | 0.039 | −0.019 to 0.098 | 0.027 | −0.031 to 0.085 |
Basic | 1 | 0.026 | −0.017 to 0.070 | 0.023 | −0.019 to 0.066 |
All | 1 | 0.028 | −0.007 to 0.063 | 0.023 | −0.012 to 0.057 |
Sweden | |||||
Tertiary | 1 | −0.037 | −0.238 to 0.163 | 0.025 | −0.011 to 0.160 |
Secondary | 1 | −0.041 | −0.076 to −0.006 | −0.019 | −0.044 to 0.007 |
Basic | 3 | −0.021 | −0.050 to 0.008 | −0.008 | −0.038 to 0.021 |
All | 3 | −0.026 | −0.052 to 0.000 | −0.019 | −0.044 to 0.007 |
Model estimates in bold indicate models with a better fit according to Schwarz Bayesian, Hannan-Quinn and Akaike information criteria.
OIRF, orthogonalised impulse response function; VAR, vector autoregressive.