Temporal pathway testing: ORs with 95% CIs of changes in trust status over time (2000–2007) according to multiple variable logistic regression analysis of all lagged (t−1) and unlagged (t) explanatory variables (NT=8114)
| Lagged (t−1) explanatory variables | Model 3a | Model 3b | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Can trust at baseline cohort (N=3125) | Cannot trust at baseline cohort (N=4989) | ||
| Now cannot trust | Now can trust | ||
| ORs (95% CI) | ORs (95% CI) | ||
| Time | Continuous | 1.25 (1.15 to 1.40)*** | 0.79 (0.74 to 0.85)*** |
| Self-rated health—lagged (t−1) | Good health | 1.0 | 1.24 (1.08 to 1.42)** |
| Poor health | 1.26 (1.05 to 1.50)** | 1.0 | |
| Self-rated health—Unlagged (t) | Good health | 1.0 | 1.24 (1.08 to 1.43)** |
| Poor health | 1.66 (1.39 to 1.97)*** | 1.0 | |
| Variance at level 2 (individual) | Random intercept (SD) | 3.99 (0.29) | 3.45 (0.21) |
Note: Only self-rated health is shown
Source: The British Household Panel Survey, Waves J, M, O and Q (2000, 2003, 2005 and 2007).
Reference group=1.0.
Significant p values are *<0.05, **<0.01, ***<0.001.