Table 3

Modelling health and social determinants of health outcomes by deprivation group over time, adjusted for sex, age and ethnicity using multilevel logistic regression analysis

 SmokerPoor mental healthPoor self-rated health
InterceptSlopeInterceptSlopeInterceptSlope
NDC intervention areas1.25 (1.12 to 1.38)0.033 (0.010 to 0.0558)0.47 (0.33 to 0.61)0.001 (−0.025 to 0.027)0.47 (0.34 to 0.60)−0.018 (−0.040 to 0.003)
NDC comparator areas0.97 (0.83 to 1.12)0.039 (0.010 to 0.068)0.27 (0.10 to 0.43)0.012 (−0.024 to 0.047)0.28 (0.14 to 0.43)−0.013 (−0.042 to 0.017)
HSE high deprivation0.73 (0.61 to 0.84)0.046 (0.020 to 0.073)0.49 (0.36 to 0.62)0.009 (−0.022 to 0.039)0.73 (0.62 to 0.84)0.026 (0.001 to 0.051)
HSE medium deprivation0.23 (0.08 to 0.37)0.020 (−0.013 to 0.053)0.02 (−0.15 to 0.20)0.032 (−0.008 to 0.072)0.17 (0.03 to 0.31)0.036 (0.004 to 0.068)
HSE low deprivationReferenceReference
−0.056 (−0.077 to −0.035)
ReferenceReference
−0.032 (−0.056 to −0.007)
ReferenceReference
−0.015 (−0.035 to 0.005)
 Not in paid work (age 25–59 years F, and 25–64 years M)Living in rented accommodationNo qualifications (age 25+)
InterceptSlopeInterceptSlopeInterceptSlope
NDC intervention areas1.09 (0.94 to 1.24)0.009 (−0.021 to 0.038)2.88 (2.59 to 3.17)−0.021 (−0.051 to 0.008)1.72 (1.55 to 1.88)−0.030 (−0.054 to −0.006)
NDC comparator areas0.79 (0.61 to 0.97)0.018 (−0.022 to 0.059)2.22 (1.92 to 2.52)−0.001 (−0.036 to 0.033)1.44 (1.26 to 1.62)−0.032 (−0.064 to −0.002)
HSE high deprivation0.33 (0.18 to 0.49)0.046 (0.010 to 0.081)1.47 (1.32 to 1.61)0.087 (0.054 to 0.120)1.04 (0.91,1.16)0.030 (0.001 to 0.058)
HSE medium deprivation−0.02 (−0.22 to 0.18)0.025 (−0.021 to 0.071)0.68 (0.51 to 0.86)0.035 (−0.005 to 0.074)0.50 (0.34 to 0.66)−0.007 (−0.043 to 0.028)
HSE low deprivationReferenceReference
−0.041 (−0.068 to −0.014)
ReferenceReference
−0.011 (−0.039 to 0.018)
Referencereference
−0.024 (−0.046 to −0.002)
  • Table shows log ORs (with 95% CIs; bold indicates statistically significant at 5% level).

  • Exponentiation of the log OR for the intercept gives OR for outcome relative to residents in Health Survey for England (HSE) low-deprivation areas; Exponentiation of the log OR for the slope in HSE low-deprivation areas gives the OR for outcome per two-year advance in time in the reference group; A negative slope coefficient indicates greater reduction in the outcome (ie, a more marked improvement in health and its social determinants) over time compared with the reference group.

  • HSE, Health Survey for England; NDC, New Deal for Communities.