Table 3

All-cause and cause-specific mortality HRs among men according to socioprofessional trajectories

 All cause (n=12 162)Cardiovascular (n=1452)Cancer (n=3116)External causes (n=4026)Other causes (n=3568)
HR†‡ (95% CI)CSH†‡ (95% CI)CSH†‡ (95% CI)CSH†‡ (95% CI)CSH†‡ (95% CI)
Occupation at beginning of follow-up
 Upper class11111
 Intermediary occupations1.17 (1.04 to 1.33)*1.41 (0.94 to 2.14)0.98 (0.77 to 1.24)1.10 (0.89 to 1.37)1.39 (1.10 to 1.77)**
 Clerk class1.34 (1.18 to 1.51)***1.57 (1.04 to 2.37)*1.02 (0.81 to 1.29)1.26 (1.02 to 1.56)*1.68 (1.34 to 2.12)***
 Manual workers class1.43 (1.27 to 1.61)***1.90 (1.27 to 2.83)**1.10 (0.88 to 1.37)1.41 (1.15 to 1.73)**1.60 (1.28 to 2.00)***
Current occupational class§
 Upper class11111
 Intermediary occupations1.16 (1.03 to 1.30)*1.26 (0.90 to 1.76)1.10 (0.88 to 1.37)1.23 (1.01 to 1.51)*1.07 (0.86 to 1.33)
 Clerk class1.49 (1.31 to 1.69)***1.58 (1.09 to 2.30)*1.50 (1.16 to 1.93)**1.43 (1.14 to1.79)**1.58 (1.26 to 1.98)***
 Manual workers class1.39 (1.25 to 1.56)***1.43 (1.03 to 1.99)*1.26 (1.02 to 1.56)*1.73 (1.42 to 2.12)***1.09 (0.89 to 1.33)
 Outside the scope2.57 (2.31 to 2.85)***2.45 (1.80 to 3.34)***2.21 (1.81 to 2.71)***2.20 (1.81 to 2.68)***3.25 (2.69 to 3.94)***
Cumulative time spent in occupational class
 Upper class11111
 Intermediary occupations1.04 (0.92 to 1.17)1.13 (0.83 to 1.54)1.20 (0.98 to 1.46)1.03 (0.81 to 1.31)0.84 (0.66 to 1.06)
 Clerk class1.50 (1.33 to 1.69)***1.59 (1.14 to 2.20)**1.53 (1.23 to 1.89)***1.23 (0.95 to 1.60)1.62 (1.31 to 2.00)***
 Manual workers class1.52 (1.38 to 1.66)***1.54 (1.18 to 2.00)**1.75 (1.48 to 2.06)***1.33 (1.10 to 1.60)**1.53 (1.28 to 1.83)***
 Outside the scope1.35 (1.22 to 1.48)***1.29 (0.99 to 1.69)1.33 (1.12 to 1.57)***1.46 (1.19 to 1.77)***1.39 (1.16 to 1.67)***
Social mobility indicator¶
 Low (=0)11111
 Medium1.03 (0.97 to 1.08)1.03 (0.88 to 1.20)0.96 (0.87 to 1.06)1.11 (0.99 to 1.24)1.03 (0.93 to 1.13)
 High (>1.11)1.15 (1.09 to 1.21)***1.12 (0.97 to 1.29)1.07 (0.97 to 1.18)1.17 (1.08 to 1.28)***1.23 (1.12 to 1.34)***
  • *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001.

  • †Adjusted for occupation at the beginning, current occupational class, cumulative time spent in occupational class, social mobility indicator and observation periods.

  • ‡Age as the time scale in Cox proportional hazards model.

  • §Observed with 2-year time lag.

  • ¶Transition rates between occupational classes (10 years of follow-up).

  • CSH, cause-specific HR.