Table 2

Number of excess deaths by match importance and score*

Type of matchScoreNumber of matchesNumber of excess deaths (99% CI)
All eventsVictories127−3.3 (−22.5 to 15.9)
Losses365.5 (−32.0 to 42.9)
Draws44−3.4 (−37.1 to 30.3)
International championshipsAll37−33.7 (−68.8 to 1.4)
Victories23−45.4 (−89.5 to −1.3)
Losses8−16.0 (−93.7 to 61.8)
Draws6−9.7 (−93.6 to 74.2)
QualificationsAll6516.5 (−9.4 to 42.5)
Victories4415.7 (−15.7 to 47.0)
Losses471.0 (−31.5 to 173.5)
Draws174.7 (−46.5 to 56.0)
Rest/friendly matchesAll105−2.6 (−25.2 to 20.1)
Victories60−1.2 (−30.3 to 27.9)
Losses24−0.5 (−47.5 to 46.6)
Draws21−9.5 (−62.4 to 43.5)
  • *As estimated by the respective pulse functions from the ARIMA(2,0,2)(0,1,1)7 model on all 11 225 966 deaths.