Table 1

Summer temperature distributions, number of deaths, increments in relative risk/°C under the linear-threshold model, and attributable deaths, in the conurbations

RegionDistribution of summer daily maximum temperatureDeathsHeat–mortality slope as % per degree above the threshold (95% CI)Deaths attributable to heat
Mean(min, max)93rd centile* (threshold)Mean dailyTotal%No
North East18.4(8.9, 29.4)20.972.01229230.8 (0.2, 1.3)0.3398
North West19.3(11.5, 32.0)21.7189.03228201.3 (1.0, 1.6)0.62067
Yorkshire & Humberside19.5(10.5, 30.3)22.2131.82250441.7 (1.3, 2.1)0.81820
Wales19.6(12.4, 31.6)21.683.81431422.0 (1.5, 2.5)0.81191
West Midlands20.3(9.9, 33.8)23.0136.22327112.2 (1.9, 2.6)1.12587
East Midlands20.3(9.7, 32.3)23.0107.01826942.3 (1.9, 2.8)1.22179
South West20.1(12.3, 30.9)22.3136.12325202.1 (1.7, 2.5)0.91986
South East21.0(10.2, 34.0)23.5200.43422032.6 (2.2, 2.9)1.24062
East21.2(10.5, 34.5)23.9132.22257492.4 (2.0, 2.8)1.12568
London21.8(10.7, 37.3)24.7149.72557133.8 (3.4, 4.1)2.05124
Overall144.922855192.1 (1.6–2.6)1.023982
  • * 93rd centile of year-round 2-day mean temperature distribution.

  • DerSimonian and Laird estimate.19