Table 3

Projected rates of obesity to 2015 (based on linear and non-linear trends) by age groups and sex

2–5 years6–10 years11–15 years16–18 yearsAll 2–10All 11–18
% (95% prediction intervals)% (95% prediction intervals)% (95% prediction intervals)% (95% prediction intervals)% (95% prediction intervals)% (95% prediction intervals)
Boys
2015 Linear10.2 (5.4 to 14.9)10.0 (7.2 to 12.8)8.5 (4.8 to 12.2)7.1 (1.8 to 12.4)10.1 (7.5 to 12.6)8.0 (4.5 to 11.5)
R20.7610.406
2015 Power7.7 (3.3 to 18.0)7.7 (4.8 to 12.4)7.5 (4.1 to 13.7)5.6 (2.2 to 14.6)7.8 (4.9 to 12.4)6.9 (4.0 to 11.7)
R20.6990.540
2015 Exponential13.9 (5.0 to 38.6)13.2 (7.7 to 22.8)10.9 (4.5 to 26.2)7.2 (2.1 to 24.4)13.5 (7.9 to 23.0)9.5 (4.4 to 20.2)
R20.7600.423
Girls
2015 Linear7.6 (4.0 to 11.1)9.8 (5.8 to 13.8)9.5 (5.5 to 13.4)9.9 (4.7 to 15.1)8.9 (5.8 to 12.1)9.7 (6.0 to 13.3)
R20.3490.367
2015 Power6.4 (3.9 to 10.5)8.4 (5.4 to 12.9)8.3 (5.6 to 12.2)9.0 (5.1 to 16.0)7.6 (5.3 to 10.9)8.6 (6.1 to 12.1)
R20.3680.589
2015 Exponential7.6 (4.1 to 14.2)10.4 (5.9 to 18.1)10.1 (5.9 to 17.6)11.0 (4.8 to 24.7)9.3 (5.9 to 14.6)10.6 (6.2 to 17.9)
R20.3720.418