Table 3 Odds ratio (95% CI) for binge drinking associated with maths z-score at age 7 and with change in maths z-score 7–16 years
Adjusted§Adjusted + behavioural problems¶Adjusted + adult qualifications**Adjusted + adult social class††Adjusted +all‡‡
Men
Maths z-scorea23 year binge-drinking†‡
    7 years1.06 (0.98 to 1.14)1.02 (0.94 to 1.10)0.97 (0.89 to 1.06)1.00 (0.92 to 1.09)0.93 (0.85 to 1.02)
    Change 7–16 years1.24 (1.16 to 1.33)1.21 (1.13 to 1.29)1.19 (1.10 to 1.27)1.20 (1.12 to 1.29)1.15 (1.06 to 1.24)
Maths z-score*33 year binge-drinking†‡
    7 years1.03 (0.95 to 1.11)1.01 (0.93 to 1.10)0.93 (0.85 to 1.01)0.97 (0.89 to 1.06)0.90 (0.82 to 0.99)
    Change 7–16 years1.19 (1.11 to 1.27)1.18 (1.10 to 1.26)1.11 (1.04 to 1.20)1.15 (1.07 to 1.23)1.10 (1.02 to 1.18)
Maths z-score*42 year binge-drinking†‡
    7 years1.10 (1.01 to 1.19)1.04 (0.96 to 1.14)1.03 (0.93 to 1.13)1.05 (0.96 to 1.15)0.97 (0.88 to 1.07)
    Change 7–16 years1.14 (1.06 to 1.22)1.09 (1.02 to 1.17)1.09 (1.01 to 1.17)1.10 (1.02 to 1.19)1.04 (0.96 to 1.13)
Women
Maths z-score*23 year binge-drinking†‡
    7 years0.88 (0.80 to 0.97)0.88 (0.80 to 0.97)0.94 (0.85 to 1.05)0.92 (0.83 to 1.01)0.95 (0.85 to 1.06)
    Change 7–16 years0.99 (0.91 to 1.07)0.99 (0.91 to 1.07)1.02 (0.94 to 1.11)1.00 (0.92 to 1.09)1.02 (0.93 to 1.11)
Maths z-score*33 year binge-drinking†‡
    7 years1.01 (0.92 to 1.12)0.99 (0.90 to 1.10)0.92 (0.82 to 1.04)0.96 (0.86 to 1.06)0.89 (0.79 to 1.01)
    Change 7–16 years1.11 (1.02 to 1.21)1.10 (1.01 to 1.20)1.06 (0.97 to 1.16)1.08 (0.99 to 1.18)1.05 (0.95 to 1.15)
Maths z-score*42 year binge-drinking†‡
    7 years1.24 (1.12 to 1.39)1.21 (1.08 to 1.35)1.10 (0.97 to 1.25)1.19 (1.06 to 1.33)1.08 (0.94 to 1.22)
    Change 7–16 years1.19 (1.08 to 1.30)1.17 (1.06 to 1.28)1.13 (1.02 to 1.24)1.16 (1.06 to 1.27)1.11 (1.01 to 1.23)
  • *z-scores are estimated from models of maths trajectories 7-16y. Z-scores are reversed—that is, an increase represents a decline in SDS (rank) for ability.

  • †Sample with information on drinking, maths score, social class at birth, Rutter score at 16 years, highest qualifications and social class. 3275 men and 3597 women at 23 years; 3752 men and 3990 women at 33 years; 3205 men and 3552 women at 42 years.

  • ‡Binge drinkers compared to light drinkers plus non-drinkers.

  • §Model 1 = 7 years maths score + change in maths 7–16 years + social class of origin.

  • ¶Model 2 =  model 1+ behavioural problems (16 years, Rutter score).

  • **Model 3 =  model 1+ adult qualifications.

  • ††Model 4 =  model 1+ adult social class.

  • ‡‡Model 5 =  model 1+ behavioural problems (16 years) + adult qualifications + adult social class.