Table 4 Observed (OBS) and predicted (PRE) change (in percentages compared to 1987) in age standardised cardiovascular mortality by socioeconomic groups

	Occupational class
	Upper non-manual			Lower non-manual			Manual workers			Farmers			Other employers			Others
	OBS	PRE	P/O*	OBS	PRE	P/O*	OBS	PRE	P/O*	OBS	PRE	P/O*	OBS	PRE	P/O*	OBS	PRE	P/O*
Men
1987	–	–		–	–		–	–	–	–	–		–	–		–	–
1992	−36	−9	25	−22	−9	40	−29	−11	37	−38	−12	32	−35	−15	43	−20	−18	92
1997	−54	−16	29	−53	−18	34	−49	−20	41	−54	−24	44	−52	−22	43	−60	−11	18
2002	−72	−11	16	−64	−18	28	−57	−18	32	−63	−22	34	−66	−19	28	−64	−10	16
Women
1987	–	–		–	–		–	–		–	–		–	–		–	–
1992	−18	−7	38	−59	−6	11	−25	−6	25	−40	−11	28	−53	−6	12	29	−3	−11
1997	−59	−12	20	−56	−5	9	−50	−16	33	−54	−13	24	−47	−15	32	−60	−45	76
2002	−65	−10	16	−70	−9	13	−44	−9	20	−62	−16	25	−53	−12	24	−70	−34	48

	Household income tertiles
	Highest			Middle			Lowest
	OBS	PRE	P/O*	OBS	PRE	P/O*	OBS	PRE	P/O*
Men
1987	–	–		–	–		–	–
1992	−26	−9	36	−37	−13	35	−33	−12	36
1997	−54	−18	34	−55	−22	39	−50	−20	41
2002	−65	−15	22	−68	−17	26	−62	−21	34
Women
1987	–	–		–	–		–	–
1992	−52	−7	13	−47	−8	18	−23	−9	39
1997	−74	−10	14	−67	−13	19	−36	−16	45
2002	−78	−14	18	−62	−10	15	−56	−14	25

*P/O = predicted decline as percentage of the observed decline.