Percentage change (95%CI) in daily mortality for increases in Tappmax (°C) between 26°C to 36°C in four Italian cities during summer for the reference period, 2003 and 2004
| % Change (95%CI) in daily mortality for increases in Tappmax (°C) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26–28°C | 26–30°C | 26–32°C | 26–34°C | 26–36°C | |
| Bologna | |||||
| 1996–2002 | 1.5 (−0.4,3.5) | 4.1 (0.7, 7.5) | 8.0 (3.5, 12.5) | 13.1 (7.5, 18.7) | 19.0 (11.9, 26.1) |
| 2003 | 1.9 (−4.7, 8.5) | 5.7 (−5.2, 16.6) | 11.2 (−2.1, 24.5) | 18.0 (3.2, 32.8) | 27.2 (8.2, 46.3) |
| 2004 | 0.6 (−5.7, 6.8) | 2.0 (−8.3, 12.2) | 5.3 (−8.4, 18.9) | 12.2 (−7.1, 31.4) | 23.0 (−9.2, 55.1) |
| Milano | |||||
| 1995–2002 | −0.1 (−1.3, 1.0) | 0.9 (−1.1, 2.9) | 3.8 (1.3, 6.4) | 9.0 (5.9, 12.1) | 16.6 (12.7, 20.5) |
| 2003 | 1.3 (−2.6, 5.3) | 3.0 (−3.7, 9.6) | 5.8 (−2.5, 14.0) | 10.7 (1.6, 19.7) | 19.4 (9.9, 29.0) |
| 2004 | −3.1 (−6.7, 0.4) | −4.1 (−9.8, 1.6) | −1.4 (−8.6, 5.8) | 5.2 (−3.5, 13.9) | 15.2 (3.6, 26.8) |
| Roma | |||||
| 1995–2002 | 0.7 (−0.3, 1.7) | 2.5 (0.9, 4.2) | 6.6 (4.5, 8.6) | 13.7 (11.2, 16.1) | 23.7 (20.2, 27.1) |
| 2003 | 5.9 (2.6, 9.3) | 12.0 (6.8, 17.1) | 18.9 (13.0, 24.8) | 25.5 (19.3, 31.7) | 32.0 (24.5, 39.4) |
| 2004 | 0.1 (−3.0, 3.2) | 1.7 (−3.1, 6.4) | 4.6 (−1.3, 10.6) | 7.8 (0.1, 15.5) | 10.0 (−1.4, 21.4) |
| Torino | |||||
| 1995–2002 | 2.4 (0.9, 4.0) | 6.7 (3.9, 9.5) | 13.3 (9.3, 17.4) | 21.9 (15.7, 28.0) | 31.6 (22.0, 41.2) |
| 2003 | 7.8 (3.4, 12.2) | 20.4 (12.8, 28.1) | 37.5 (27.6, 47.4) | 60.5 (48.8, 72.2) | 93.4 (78.5, 108.4) |
| 2004 | 5.2 (−0.3, 10.7) | 11.7 (1.7, 21.7) | 19.3 (4.5, 34.2) | 29.1 (6.1, 52.1) | 41.8 (4.0, 79.7) |