Table 1

 Associations between sickness absence and later disability pension granted below age 55 among municipal employees, 10-town study, Finland

Sex and measure of sickness absence*Number of participants (number of disability pensions)Hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals)
Model 1†Model 2‡Model 3§
*Based on data from three consecutive years at work; †adjusted for age in five year categories, occupational status, income level, type of employment contract, and town; ‡subgroup analysis after exclusion of employees who reached the age of 55 or died (n = 5007) or retired (n = 447) in the two years immediately after the assessment of sickness absence; §subgroup analysis additionally adjusted for the other measures of sickness absence shown in table.
Men
Short (1–3 days) spells per year
    03599 (65)1.01.01.0
    >0–27994 (249)1.9 (1.4 to 2.51.6 (1.1 to 2.3)1.0 (0.7 to 1.6)
    >22003 (114)4.1 (2.9 to 5.6)3.8 (2.6 to 5.7)1.5 (0.9 to 2.4)
Long (>3 days) spells per year
    05582 (46)1.01.01.0
    >0–17109 (251)2.8 (2.0 to 4.0)2.4 (1.6 to 3.6)1.9 (1.2 to 3.1)
    >1905 (131)11.8 (8.4 to 16.6)7.3 (4.9 to 10.7)3.5 (2.0 to 6.1)
Total absence days per year
    02272 (16)1.01.01.0
    >0–158607 (149)2.7 (1.6 to 4.6)2.5 (1.4 to 4.4)1.3 (0.6 to 2.8)
    >152717 (263)15.4 (9.0 to 26.2)8.8 (4.8 to 15.8)2.4 (1.0 to 5.7)
Long spells attributable to injury per year
    011978 (327)1.01.01.0
    >01361 (92)2.2 (1.7 to 2.8)2.5 (1.8 to 3.4)1.4 (1.0 to 1.9)
Women
Short (1–3 days) spells per year
    04285 (70)1.01.01.0
    >0–219129 (494)1.7 (1.3 to 2.2)1.6 (1.2 to 2.2)1.0 (0.7 to 1.4)
    >29559 (422)3.5 (2.7 to 4.5)3.2 (2.4 to 4.3)1.1 (0.8 to 1.6)
Long (>3 days) spells per year
    010400 (64)1.01.01.0
    >0–119415 (521)2.9 (2.2 to 3.9)2.9 (2.1 to 3.9)2.2 (1.5 to 3.0)
    >13158 (401)12.1 (9.3 to 15.6)9.6 (7.2 to 12.7)4.2 (2.9 to 6.1)
Total number of absence days per year
    02475 (14)1.01.01.0
    >0–1521992 (276)2.5 (1.5 to 4.3)3.0 (1.6 to 5.7)1.5 (0.7 to 3.2)
    >158506 (696)15.1 (8.8 to 25.6)13.6 (7.3 to 25.7)3.4 (1.5 to 7.6)
Long spells attributable to injury per year
    030363 (850)1.01.01.0
    >01915 (124)2.0 (1.6 to 2.4)1.9 (1.5 to 2.4)1.1 (0.8 to 1.3)