Independent predictors of stroke (odds ratio with 95% CI between parentheses)
| Predictor | Model 1 Patient history | Model 2 Patient history + blood pressure | Model 3 Patient history + blood pressure + fibrinogen |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROC area = area under receiver operating characteristic curve. | |||
| Age (per year) | 1.02 (1.00 to 1.04) | 1.03 (1.01 to 1.05) | 1.03 (1.01 to 1.05) |
| History of stroke | 7.68 (3.21 to 18.40) | 7.67 (3.19 to 18.41) | 7.46 (3.10 to 17.92) |
| Diabetes | 2.2 1 (1.11 to 4.43) | 2.38 (1.18 to 4.78) | 2.38 (1.18 to 4.80) |
| Current smoking | 1.67 (1.18 to 2.36) | 1.69 (1.19 to 2.39) | 1.57 (1.10 to 2.24) |
| History of hypertension | 1.58 (1.03 to 2.43) | 1.43 (0.92 to 2.20) | 1.41 (0.91 to 2.18) |
| Diastolic blood pressure (per mm Hg) | – | 1.02 (1.01 to 1.04) | 1.02 (1.01 to 1.04) |
| Fibrinogen level (per g/l) | – | – | 1.16 (0.98 to 1.38) |
| ROC area (95% CI) | 0.66 (0.62 to 0.70) | 0.69 (0.64 to 0.73) | 0.70 (0.65 to 0.75) |