Table 3

Validity of aspects of adolescent psychiatric disorder in predicting young adult criminal activity

Aspect of adolescent psychiatric disorderCriminal involvementNo criminal involvementCrude relative risk95% CIAdjusted† relative risk95% CISensitivity (95% CI)Specificity (95% CI)Predictive value positive (95% CI)
*The highest quartiles comprised the target groups on the symptom scales, and the lowest quartile comprised the target group on the adaptive functioning scales; †adjusted for age, gender and social class.
Psychiatric diagnosis
Any diagnosis13 561.910.91 to 4.042.781.09 to 7.080.5420.6430.188
No diagnosis11101(0.332 to 0.738)(0.563 to 0.717)(0.108 to 0.304)
Depressive Dx 2 61.970.56 to 6.953.220.49 to 20.970.0830.9620.250
No depressive Dx22151(0.015 to 0.285)(0.915 to 0.984)(0.045 to 0.644)
Anxiety Dx 1 290.220.03 to 1.560.230.13 to 1.880.0420.8150.033
No anxiety Dx23128(0.002 to 0.231)(0.744 to 0.871)(0.002 to 0.191)
Disruptive Dx13 284.041.96 to 8.327.992.86 to 22.290.5420.8220.317
No disruptive Dx11129(0.332 to 0.738)(0.751 to 0.876)(0.186 to 0.482)
Substance Dx 7 172.691.25 to 5.813.241.07 to 9.810.2920.8920.292
No substance Dx17140(0.134 to 0.512)(0.830 to 0.934)(0.134 to 0.512)
Psychiatric symptoms*
Upper 25%11 342.561.23 to 5.805.421.87 to 15.780.4580.7830.244
Lower 75%13123(0.262 to 0.668)(0.709 to 0.843)(0.134 to 0.399)
Disruptive symptoms
Highest 25%14 314.232.02 to 8.857.462.68 to 20.730.5830.8030.311
Lower 75%10126(0.369 to 0.772)(0.730 to 0.860)(0.186 to 0.468)
Highest 40%18 544.501.88 to 10.798.672.90 to 25.970.7500.6540.250
Lower 60% 6102(0.529 to 0.894)(0.573 to 0.727)(0.159 to 0.368)
Adaptive functioning*
Lower 25% 4 460.520.19 to 1.460.840.24 to 2.870.1670.7070.080
Upper 75%20111(0.055 to 0.382)(0.628 to 0.775)(0.026 to 0.201)