Table 3

Predictors of seven year mortality in older adults—Cox proportional hazards model with hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals

Variable HR (95% CI) Variable HR (95% CI)
Self assessed health Living arrangements
Global health status With spouse1.00
 Excellent1.00 With non-/relative1.23 (1.08, 1.40)
 Very good1.03 (0.89, 1.20) Living alone1.14 (1.00, 1.30)
 Good1.12 (0.96, 1.32) Functioning
 Fair/poor1.27 (1.06, 1.51)Lower body limitation
Taking care of health None1.00
 Excellent1.00 1–21.32 (1.17, 1.48)
 Very good1.19 (1.04, 1.36) 3–51.43 (1.22, 1.68)
 Good1.26 (1.11, 1.44)Disability level
 Fair/poor1.04 (0.86, 1.25) None1.00
Worry over health IADLs only1.06 (0.92, 1.22)
 Not at all1.00 1-2 ADLs1.25 (0.99, 1.57)
 Hardly any0.84 (0.72, 0.98) 3-5 ADLs1.48 (1.05, 2.10)
 Some0.92 (0.81, 1.06) Disease/conditions
 Great deal0.88 (0.73, 1.05)Ever had:
Control over health Hypertension
 A great deal1.00  No1.00
 Some control0.98 (0.88, 1.10)  Yes1.14 (1.04, 1.24)
 None/very little1.05 (0.92, 1.21) Stroke
Physical activity  No1.00
 A lot more active1.00  Yes1.38 (1.17, 1.62)
 More active1.02 (0.89, 1.18) Cancer
 About as active1.18 (1.05, 1.33)  No1.00
 Less active1.48 (1.22, 1.80)  Yes1.40 (1.23, 1.59)
Getting exerciseIn past 12 months:
 As much as needed1.00 Arthritis
 Less than needed1.04 (0.94, 1.14)  No1.00
Trouble remembering  Yes0.80 (0.73, 0.88)
 Never1.00 Diabetes
 Rarely0.93 (0.80, 1.07)  No1.00
 Sometimes/frequently0.86 (0.76, 0.96)  Yes1.38 (1.22, 1.56)
Getting confused Amount of social activity *
 Never1.00 0–11.00
 Rarely1.11 (1.00, 1.23) 2–40.89 (0.71, 1.11)
 Sometimes/frequently0.97 (0.85, 1.10) 5–60.70 (0.55, 0.89)
Sociodemographics Use of services
Age in 1984Hospital days
 70–741.00 None1.00
 75–791.37 (1.22, 1.55) 1–91.12 (0.98, 1.28)
 80–841.96 (1.71, 2.24) 10+1.37 (1.16, 1.62)
 85+2.91 (2.47, 3.43)
Gender
 Male1.00
 Female0.52 (0.47, 0.58)
  • Race, education, poverty index, use of community services, doctor visits have been controlled. *Total number of activities in the past two weeks among the following: (1) get together with friends or neighbours; (2) talk on telephone with friends or neighbours; (3) get together with relatives; (4) talk with relatives on telephone; (5) go to church or temple; and (6) go to movies, sports events, etc.