Table 2

Predictors of functional decline* in older adults—multiple logistic regression analyses with odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals

Variable OR (95% CI) Variable OR (95% CI)
Self assessed health Marital status
Global health status Married1.00
 Excellent1.00 Widowed0.60 (0.29, 1.24)
 Very good1.20  (0.99, 1.46) Not married0.39 (0.18, 0.84)
 Good1.43 (1.16, 1.76)Living arrangements
 Fair/poor1.56 (1.20, 2.03) With spouse1.00
Taking care of health With non-/relative2.08 (1.01, 4.26)
 Excellent1.00 Living alone1.68 (0.82, 3.44)
 Very good1.18 (0.94, 1.47) Functioning
 Good1.18 (0.93, 1.49)Upper body limitation
 Fair/poor1.67 (1.20, 2.33) None1.00
Worry over health 1–21.33 (1.06, 1.66)
 Not at all1.00 3–51.32 (0.89, 1.96)
 Hardly any1.03 (0.85, 1.26)Lower body limitation
 Some1.03 (0.83, 1.27) None1.00
 Great deal1.02 (0.67, 1.54) 1–21.46 (1.19, 1.79)
Control over health 3–51.74 (1.28, 2.37)
 A great deal1.00 Disease/conditions
 Some 1.10 (0.92, 1.32)Ever had:
 None/very little1.07 (0.83, 1.39) Hypertension
Physical activity  No1.00
 A lot more active1.00  Yes1.30 (1.09, 1.56)
 More active0.99 (0.80, 1.23)In past 12 months:
 About as active1.29 (1.08, 1.55) Diabetes
 Less active1.65 (1.14, 2.39)  No1.00
Getting exercise  Yes1.48 (1.12, 1.95)
 As much as needed1.00 Falls
 Less than needed1.17 (0.99, 1.38)  No1.00
Trouble remembering  Yes1.28 (1.05, 1.57)
 Never1.00 Amount of social activity
 Rarely0.83 (0.64, 1.07)0–11.00
 Sometimes/frequently0.90 (0.73, 1.11)2–40.76 (0.52, 1.10)
Getting confused5–60.63 (0.42, 0.95)
 Never1.00 Use of services
 Rarely0.99 (0.80, 1.22)Doctor visits
 Sometimes/frequently1.35 (1.09, 1.66) None1.00
Sociodemographics  1–21.44 (1.12, 1.84)
Age in 1984 3–61.25 (0.96, 1.64)
 70–741.00 7+1.42 (1.06, 1.91)
 75–791.98 (1.66, 2.38)
 80–843.69 (2.88, 4.73)
 85+9.08 (6.38, 12.93)
  • Controlling for baseline disability level in 1984. Gender, race, education, poverty index, stroke, use of community services, hospital days have been controlled. *Change in disability level between 1984 and 1990 coded as 0=no change/improvement, 1=decline. Total number of activities in the past two weeks among the following: (1) get together with friends or neighbours; (2) talk on telephone with friends or neighbours; (3) get together with relatives; (4) talk with relatives on telephone; (5) go to church or temple; and (6) go to movies, sports events, etc.