TY - JOUR T1 - No effects of increased alcohol availability during adolescence on alcohol-related morbidity and mortality during four decades: a natural experiment JF - Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health JO - J Epidemiol Community Health SP - 1072 LP - 1077 DO - 10.1136/jech-2017-209164 VL - 71 IS - 11 AU - Emelie Thern AU - Ting Jia AU - Mikaela Willmer AU - Jeroen de Munter AU - Thor Norström AU - Mats Ramstedt AU - George Davey Smith AU - Per Tynelius AU - Finn Rasmussen Y1 - 2017/11/01 UR - http://jech.bmj.com/content/71/11/1072.abstract N2 - Background A strict high legal age limit for alcohol purchases decreases adolescents’ access to alcohol, but little is known about long-term health effects. The aim was to estimate the effect of increased alcohol availability during adolescence on alcohol-related morbidity and mortality.Methods A nationwide register-based study using data from a natural experiment setting. In two regions of Sweden, strong beer (4.5%–5.6% alcohol by volume) became temporarily available for purchase in grocery stores for individuals 16 years or older (instead of 21) in 1967/1968. The intervention group was defined as all individuals living in the intervention area when they were 14–20 years old (n=72 110). The remaining Swedish counties excluding bordering counties, without the policy change, were used as the control group (n=456 224). The outcomes of alcohol-related morbidity and mortality were collected from the Hospital Discharge Register and Cause of Death Register, in which average follow-up times were 38 years and 41 years, respectively. HRs with 95% CIs were obtained by Cox regression analysis.Results In the fully adjusted model, no clear evidence of an association between increased alcohol availability during adolescence and alcohol-related morbidity (HR: 0.99, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.02) or mortality (HR: 1.02, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.10) was found.Conclusion The initial elevated risk of alcohol-related morbidity and mortality later in life among adolescents exposed to increased access to strong beer in Sweden vanished when a regional measure population density of locality was included in the model, which is important to consider in future research. ER -