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“Will the SARS epidemic recur?” A retrospective analysis of the experts’ opinions
  1. Tze Wai Wong
  1. Department of Community and Family Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
  1. Correspondence to:
 Professor T W Wong
 Room 421, School of Public Health, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong; twwong{at}

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Shortly after the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic subsided, nine experts were invited by this journal to predict whether the epidemic would recur.1 A review of their opinions two years after the epidemic may prove insightful.

SARS has not recurred in epidemic proportions since it ended in July 2003. Since September 2003, several laboratory associated cases occurred: in Singapore, Taiwan, and Beijing, the latter involving two secondary and five tertiary cases.2 In addition, three …

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