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Volume 57, Issue 10
A simple approximate mathematical model to predict the number of severe acute respiratory syndrome cases and deaths
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This article has a correction. Please see:
CORRECTION - June 01, 2004
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Theory and methods
A simple approximate mathematical model to predict the number of severe acute respiratory syndrome cases and deaths
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Oct 2003
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Mar 2004
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Apr 2004
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May 2004
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Jun 2004
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Jul 2004
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Aug 2004
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Sep 2004
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Oct 2004
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Nov 2004
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Dec 2004
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Jan 2005
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75
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Feb 2005
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Mar 2005
26
59
29
Apr 2005
11
42
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May 2005
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Jun 2005
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24
Jul 2005
10
28
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Aug 2005
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Sep 2005
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36
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Oct 2005
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Nov 2005
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Dec 2005
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Jan 2006
14
31
16
Feb 2006
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Mar 2006
9
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20
Apr 2006
20
30
16
May 2006
17
25
15
Jun 2006
7
19
9
Jul 2006
38
106
9
Aug 2006
11
36
7
Sep 2006
17
41
26
Oct 2006
18
51
22
Nov 2006
24
74
27
Dec 2006
3
59
16
Jan 2007
16
72
29
Feb 2007
14
62
25
Mar 2007
17
81
31
Apr 2007
49
12
13
May 2007
42
24
15
Jun 2007
40
17
10
Jul 2007
24
21
13
Aug 2007
25
16
12
Sep 2007
41
20
17
Oct 2007
32
9
6
Nov 2007
26
14
14
Dec 2007
26
21
13
Jan 2008
37
26
6
Feb 2008
29
18
9
Mar 2008
33
13
8
Apr 2008
38
12
6
May 2008
23
4
4
Jun 2008
20
3
5
Jul 2008
38
7
6
Aug 2008
36
9
5
Sep 2008
57
10
7
Oct 2008
26
4
6
Nov 2008
19
10
13
Dec 2008
6
2
0
Jan 2009
18
7
4
Feb 2009
21
9
5
Mar 2009
33
7
6
Apr 2009
30
16
10
May 2009
32
7
2
Jun 2009
29
6
9
Jul 2009
31
5
4
Aug 2009
33
3
4
Sep 2009
40
5
4
Oct 2009
44
7
1
Nov 2009
35
6
5
Dec 2009
15
0
1
Jan 2010
18
8
3
Feb 2010
14
3
2
Mar 2010
18
3
6
Apr 2010
26
2
4
May 2010
24
2
2
Jun 2010
17
8
8
Jul 2010
32
2
5
Aug 2010
28
3
7
Sep 2010
19
1
1
Oct 2010
37
3
2
Nov 2010
24
6
2
Dec 2010
20
1
3
Jan 2011
19
4
2
Feb 2011
24
0
0
Mar 2011
29
5
1
Apr 2011
17
3
1
May 2011
24
3
1
Jun 2011
27
3
3
Jul 2011
28
1
1
Aug 2011
24
0
1
Sep 2011
40
2
0
Oct 2011
37
2
2
Nov 2011
31
25
5
Dec 2011
31
23
6
Jan 2012
20
18
8
Feb 2012
21
10
3
Mar 2012
15
9
6
Apr 2012
15
15
5
May 2012
13
15
10
Jun 2012
13
17
3
Jul 2012
12
23
8
Aug 2012
18
21
8
Sep 2012
20
27
13
Oct 2012
19
51
16
Nov 2012
47
51
6
Dec 2012
28
53
17
Jan 2013
53
19
20
Feb 2013
27
17
20
Mar 2013
17
24
19
Apr 2013
34
32
28
May 2013
33
26
30
Jun 2013
16
22
11
Jul 2013
23
6
9
Aug 2013
17
8
14
Sep 2013
6
11
19
Oct 2013
15
16
7
Nov 2013
16
28
12
Dec 2013
14
13
5
Jan 2014
19
35
12
Feb 2014
19
26
3
Mar 2014
27
42
7
Apr 2014
27
32
5
May 2014
23
39
15
Jun 2014
16
24
4
Jul 2014
23
14
1
Aug 2014
12
25
13
Sep 2014
16
28
4
Oct 2014
11
82
3
Nov 2014
15
43
5
Dec 2014
7
47
3
Jan 2015
17
16
7
Feb 2015
19
42
6
Mar 2015
12
37
0
Apr 2015
11
44
7
May 2015
12
23
1
Jun 2015
4
25
2
Jul 2015
4
76
2
Aug 2015
2
50
0
Sep 2015
14
58
4
Oct 2015
5
31
1
Nov 2015
10
31
10
Dec 2015
20
19
4
Jan 2016
192
9
3
Feb 2016
20
17
1
Mar 2016
15
19
9
Apr 2016
11
17
3
May 2016
43
28
11
Jun 2016
8
32
4
Jul 2016
31
31
6
Aug 2016
16
14
5
Sep 2016
23
20
6
Oct 2016
10
45
3
Nov 2016
14
19
0
Dec 2016
18
38
3
Jan 2017
10
15
2
Feb 2017
3
11
2
Mar 2017
6
23
3
Apr 2017
4
44
0
May 2017
3
60
4
Jun 2017
8
36
5
Jul 2017
12
12
1
Aug 2017
26
23
2
Sep 2017
35
35
12
Oct 2017
52
50
6
Nov 2017
52
48
3
Dec 2017
31
26
3
Jan 2018
30
30
1
Feb 2018
33
31
6
Mar 2018
61
57
9
Apr 2018
120
116
7
May 2018
64
60
74
Jun 2018
68
66
9
Jul 2018
36
36
5
Aug 2018
41
37
10
Sep 2018
46
42
7
Oct 2018
45
43
5
Nov 2018
49
47
9
Dec 2018
42
42
5
Jan 2019
34
34
4
Feb 2019
46
46
5
Mar 2019
44
43
11
Apr 2019
29
27
8
May 2019
21
21
7
Jun 2019
33
25
11
Jul 2019
23
24
20
Aug 2019
34
36
9
Sep 2019
51
43
17
Oct 2019
66
60
25
Nov 2019
44
40
8
Dec 2019
37
35
11
Jan 2020
415
388
173
Feb 2020
734
676
178
Mar 2020
2653
2568
314
Apr 2020
1330
1302
243
May 2020
571
547
99
Jun 2020
270
268
66
Jul 2020
223
222
45
Aug 2020
188
176
41
Sep 2020
253
239
35
Oct 2020
372
368
39
Nov 2020
261
247
31
Dec 2020
229
221
31
Jan 2021
207
204
24
Feb 2021
192
190
20
Mar 2021
200
202
21
Apr 2021
190
188
21
May 2021
162
163
31
Jun 2021
120
121
32
Jul 2021
144
141
23
Aug 2021
160
160
22
Sep 2021
120
121
14
Oct 2021
138
134
37
Nov 2021
55
50
23
Dec 2021
145
139
21
Jan 2022
115
106
13
Feb 2022
102
97
10
Mar 2022
102
100
22
Apr 2022
98
94
6
May 2022
116
100
11
Jun 2022
117
111
12
Jul 2022
87
84
5
Aug 2022
65
67
13
Sep 2022
58
57
8
Oct 2022
148
145
15
Nov 2022
116
112
12
Dec 2022
84
83
3
Jan 2023
73
73
7
Feb 2023
85
85
7
Mar 2023
47
47
11
Apr 2023
36
33
36
May 2023
36
36
9
Jun 2023
29
27
4
Jul 2023
14
14
9
Aug 2023
25
24
11
Sep 2023
60
58
7
Oct 2023
65
64
8
Nov 2023
67
61
7
Dec 2023
212
11
8
Jan 2024
75
3
0
Feb 2024
59
4
1
Mar 2024
36
0
0
Total
16626
16858
3844
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