Orthogonalised impulse response functions from vector-autoregressive models of the estimated short-term effect of affordability of alcohol on alcohol-related mortality according to education among men, Finland in 1988–2007 and Sweden in 1991–2008
| Country and education | Seasonally unadjusted VAR | Seasonally adjusted VAR | |||
| Lags | OIRF | 95% CI | OIRF | 95% CI | |
| Finland | |||||
| Tertiary | 1 | 0.004 | −0.028 to 0.036 | −0.002 | −0.034 to 0.029 |
| Secondary | 1 | 0.028 | 0.004 to 0.053 | 0.023 | 0.000 to 0.046 |
| Basic | 1 | 0.008 | −0.009 to 0.025 | 0.000 | −0.015 to 0.016 |
| All | 1 | 0.016 | 0.001 to 0.030 | 0.007 | −0.005 to 0.019 |
| Sweden | |||||
| Tertiary | 1 | 0.002 | −0.096 to 0.101 | 0.011 | −0.068 to 0.090 |
| Secondary | 3 | −0.020 | −0.041 to 0.002 | −0.020 | −0.041 to 0.002 |
| Basic | 1 | −0.022 | −0.048 to 0.004 | 0.006 | −0.016 to 0.027 |
| All | 1 | −0.003 | −0.022 to 0.017 | 0.012 | −0.003 to 0.028 |
Model estimates in bold indicate models with a better fit according to Schwarz Bayesian, Hannan-Quinn and Akaike information criteria.
OIRF, orthogonalised impulse response function; VAR, vector autoregressive.