Table 2

Validation analyses: expected to give null effects of cumulative impact of introduction of CIP and licensing restrictions on rates of four different outcome measures

Outcome
2011–2015 effects
Random-effects meta-analysis
Summary effect (%)
Summary 95% credible interval (%)Posterior tail-area probability
Alcohol-related hospital admissions
  2011–2015+1.3−1.9 to 4.40.43
Alcohol-related violent crimes
  2011–2015+0.8−4.5 to 6.00.77
  2011–2013 only−0.9−5.3 to 3.40.67
Alcohol-related sexual crimes
  2011–2015+11.94.2 to 19.7<0.01
  2011–2013 only−0.8−7.9 to 6.40.83
Antisocial behaviour
  2011–2015−19.7−27.3 to −12.1<0.01
  2011–2013 only−13.5−19.5 to −7.4<0.01