Table 2

Unadjusted risk ratios and adjusted risk ratios from mixed effects Poisson regression models (allowing for practice-level clustering) by the key risk factors (n=57 545)*

VariableUnadjusted risk ratioAdjusted risk ratio (ARR)†
Age (years)
 211
 31.04 (1.01 to 1.08)1.04 (1.01 to 1.07)
 40.78 (0.76 to 0.81)0.79 (0.76 to 0.82)
In clinical risk group
 No11
 Yes1.44 (1.37 to 1.51)1.45 (1.38 to 1.53)
Number of other children in household
 011
 10.98 (0.95 to 1.01)0.99 (0.96 to 1.02)
 20.86 (0.82 to 0.89)0.90 (0.86 to 0.94)
 30.77 (0.72 to 0.82)0.82 (0.77 to 0.88)
 40.67 (0.59 to 0.76)0.74 (0.65 to 0.84)
 50.60 (0.47 to 0.76)0.68 (0.53 to 0.86)
Townsend quintile
 1st (least deprived)11
 2nd0.95 (0.91 to 0.98)0.95 (0.91 to 0.98)
 3rd0.90 (0.86 to 0.93)0.90 (0.87 to 0.94)
 4th0.84 (0.81 to 0.88)0.86 (0.82 to 0.89)
 5th (most deprived)0.79 (0.75 to 0.83)0.81 (0.77 to 0.86)
Timely first dose MMR vaccine
 No11
 Yes2.08 (1.95 to 2.22)2.00 (1.87 to 2.13)
Country*
 England1
 Wales1.02 (0.88 to 1.17)
Sex*
 Male1
 Female0.99 (0.96 to 1.01)
Rurality*
 Urban1
 Town/fringe1.05 (0.98 to 1.13)
 Village/hamlet/isolated dwelling1.02 (0.94 to 1.10)
  • *Country, sex and rurality were not included in the final model.

  • †Results from final model. ARRs are adjusted for all other variables in the model. AIC: 82820.8.

  • MMR measles-mumps-rubella.