ORs with 95% CIs of trust levels at time (t) according to logistic regression analysis of all lagged (t−1) explanatory variables between years 2000 and 2007, results stratified by baseline trust status (NT=8114)
| Model 1a | Model 1b | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Can trust at baseline cohort (N=3125) | Cannot trust at baseline cohort (N=4989) | ||
| Now cannot trust | Now can trust | ||
| Lagged (t−1) explanatory variables | ORs (95% CI) | ORs (95% CI) | |
| Time | Continuous | 1.21 (1.12 to 1.30)*** | 0.80 (0.75 to 0.85)*** |
| Self-rated health | Good health | 1.0 | 1.30 (1.14 to 1.48)*** |
| Poor health | 1.38 (1.16 to 1.64)*** | 1.0 | |
| Social class: derived from occupation-based RGSC schema | Higher social class | 1.0 | 1.51 (1.30 to 1.75)*** |
| Lower social class | 1.95 (1.61 to 2.37)*** | 1.0 | |
| Household income—size weighted | Per £1000 increase | 1.0 (1.00 to 1.00)*** | 1.00 (1.00 to 1.00)*** |
| Marital status | Married | 1.0 | 1.21 (1.02 to 1.43)* |
| Not married | 1.32 (1.05 to 1.66)* | 1.0 | |
| Lives alone | No | 1.0 | 0.81 (0.65 to 1.02) |
| Yes | 0.82 (0.61 to 1.11) | 1.0 | |
| Gender (not lagged) | Male | 1.0 | 1.41 (1.21 to 1.65)*** |
| Female | 1.23 (1.01 to 1.49)* | 1.0 | |
| Social participation: membership of local voluntary groups | Active member | 1.0 | 1.21 (1.07 to 1.36)*** |
| Non-member | 1.13 (0.98 to 1.31) | 1.0 | |
| Smoking status | Non-smoker | 1.0 | 1.39 (1.18 to 1.63)*** |
| Smoker | 1.45 (1.16 to 1.83)** | 1.0 | |
| Employment status | Employed | 1.0 | 0.86 (0.72 to 1.04) |
| Full-time student | 0.82 (0.51 to 1.31) | 0.79 (0.52 to 1.20) | |
| Retired | 1.13 (0.91 to 1.40) | 1.21 (1.02 to 1.43)* | |
| Unemployed | 1.05 (0.83 to 1.33) | 1.0 | |
| Education achieved | University or higher | 1.0 | 1.15 (0.72 to 1.04) |
| Year 13 | 1.54 (1.28 to 1.85)*** | 0.84 (0.69 to 1.02) | |
| Year 11 or less | 1.13 (0.93 to 1.39) | 0.93 (0.75 to 1.15) | |
| No qualifications | 1.10 (0.87 to 1.40) | 1.0 | |
| Age (years) | 16–34 | 1.0 | 0.88 (0.69 to 1.14) |
| 35–44 | 0.72 (0.53 to 0.96)* | 0.74 (0.57 to 0.97)* | |
| 45–54 | 0.92 (0.68 to 1.25) | 0.87 (0.66 to 1.14) | |
| 55–64 | 0.96 (0.69 to 1.33) | 0.86 (0.65 to 1.14) | |
| 65+ | 0.91 (0.65 to 1.27) | 1.0 | |
| Variance at Level 2 (individual) | Random intercept (SD) | 3.96 (0.29) | 3.45 (0.21) |
Source: The British Household Panel Survey, Waves J, M, O and Q (2000, 2003, 2005 and 2007).
Reference group=1.0.
Significant p values are *<0.05, **<0.01, ***<0.001.
RGSC, Registrar General's Social Classification of occupations.