Table 4 Risk of dying on days with a mean apparent temperature of 30°C (lag 0–1) versus days with a mean apparent temperature of 20°C among people age 65+ years who died in hospital and were already in hospital two days before death: effect modification by 26 groups of diagnoses figuring either as the primary or as a secondary contributing cause of hospital admission in the two years before death, excluding last four weeks
Chronic conditions (ICD-9 code)%OR (95% CI)* (unadjusted)OR (95% CI)* (age-adjusted)REM index† (p value)
Cardiovascular diseases
Diseases of valves (ICD-9: 394.0–397.1, 424, 746.3–746.6, 093.2)4.21.13 (0.77 to 1.65)1.15 (0.78 to 1.70)0.86 (0.445)
Hypertensive disease (ICD-9: 401–405)21.91.25 (1.12 to 1.39)1.27 (1.14 to 1.43)0.94 (0.331)
Previous acute myocardial infarction (ICD-9: 410, 412)5.71.24 (1.00 to 1.52)1.21 (0.97 to 1.51)0.90 (0.365)
Other ischaemic heart diseases (ICD-9: 411, 413–414)15.01.31 (1.19 to 1.49)1.34 (1.17 to 1.53)1.00 (0.997)
Diseases of pulmonary circulation (ICD-9: 415–417)2.31.06 (0.74 to 1.53)1.09 (0.70 to 1.70)0.81 (0.352)
Conduction disorders (ICD-9: 426)3.21.83 (1.36 to 2.46)1.67 (1.21 to 2.29)1.26 (0.164)
Cardiac dysrhythmias (ICD-9: 427)17.11.40 (1.24 to 1.58)1.41 (1.24 to 1.59)1.06 (0.386)
Heart failure (ICD-9: 428)13.21.25 (1.09 to 1.45)1.29 (1.11 to 1.49)0.96 (0.582)
Cerebrovascular diseases (ICD-9: 430–438)16.51.49 (1.32 to 1.68)1.50 (1.32 to 1.70)1.15 (0.063)
Diseases of arteries, arterioles, and capillaries (ICD-9: 440–448)7.91.40 (1.16 to 1.68)1.44 (1.19 to 1.75)1.08 (0.428)
Respiratory diseases
Pneumonia (ICD-9: 480–486)7.41.34 (1.07 to 1.68)1.32 (1.09 to 1.60)0.99 (0.934)
Chronic pulmonary diseases (ICD-9: 490–505)15.01.23 (1.07 to 1.40)1.24 (1.08 to 1.42)0.92 (0.281)
Other diseases
Malignant neoplasms (ICD-9: 140–208)26.31.14 (0.97 to 1.36)1.18 (1.03 to 1.36)0.85 (0.032)
Disorders of thyroid gland (ICD-9: 240–246)2.61.40 (1.02 to 1.94)1.39 (0.99 to 1.97)1.04 (0.808)
Diabetes mellitus (ICD-9: 250)13.21.41 (1.23 to 1.62)1.46 (1.25 to 1.70)1.10 (0.246)
Disorders of fluid, electrolyte, and acid-base balance (ICD-9: 276)2.01.13 (0.69 to 1.86)0.94 (0.63 to 1.41)0.70 (0.091)
Obesity and other hyperalimentation (ICD-9: 278)0.81.84 (1.02 to 3.31)2.18 (0.86 to 5.50)1.63 (0.300)
Anaemias (ICD-9: 280–285)10.61.25 (1.07 to 1.45)1.27 (1.09 to 1.48)0.94 (0.472)
Psychoses (ICD-9: 290–299)4.31.98 (1.43 to 2.74)2.05 (1.44 to 2.93)1.56 (0.016)
Depression (ICD-9: 300.4, 301.1, 309.0, 309.1, 311)1.10.99 (0.51 to 1.90)1.24 (0.47 to 3.25)0.92 (0.874)
Paralysis (ICD-9: 342–344)1.61.44 (0.97 to 2.13)1.49 (0.96 to 2.30)1.11 (0.636)
Other disorders of the central nervous system (ICD-9: 330–341, 345–349)5.51.61 (1.25 to 2.07)1.58 (1.24 to 2.03)1.20 (0.162)
Acute and chronic liver diseases (ICD-9: 570–572)5.11.22 (0.97 to 1.54)1.11 (0.79 to 1.57)0.83 (0.299)
Renal failure (ICD-9: 584–588)9.61.29 (1.10 to 1.52)1.33 (1.13 to 1.57)0.99 (0.955)
Diseases of the osteomuscular system (ICD-9: 710–739)6.11.32 (1.08 to 1.62)1.28 (1.03 to 1.59)0.96 (0.725)
Hip fracture (ICD-9: 820–821)3.41.70 (1.28 to 2.24)1.66 (1.23 to 2.25)1.25 (0.156)
  • *Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results in italics are from random effects models.

  • †REM, relative effect modification index is calculated as the ratio between the specific OR and the OR from the reference category (from the age-adjusted model).