Table 1

Modelling results

	Log likelihood	Parameter estimate	Standard error	p Value
Model 1	−36163.89
Intercept		0.0002913	0.0023979	0.903
Model 2	−35900.276
Population change		−0.0010804	0.0000496	0.000
Intercept		0.0137462	0.0024596	0.000
Model 3	−35297.831
% Low social class		0.0163886	0.0003926	0.000
Intercept		−0.235846	0.0062537	0.000
Model 4	−33740.285
Deprivation		0.534964	0.000752	0.000
Intercept		−0.0031818	0.0024103	0.187
Model 5	−35236.966
Population change		−0.0005274	0.0000492	0.000
% Low social class		0.0150144	0.0004116	0.000
Intercept		−0.20945	0.0066867	0.000
Model 6	−33739.731
Population change		0.0000488	0.0000492	0.291
Deprivation		0.0537913	0.0008024	0.000
Intercept		−0.0038136	0.0024843	0.125