Abstract

OBJECTIVE--The aims were to describe the use of inpatient resources by patients with HIV infection and patients with AIDS; to examine trends in service use over time; and to provide data for planners concerned with service provision for HIV infection. SETTING--An inner London health district reporting 9% of AIDS cases nationally. DESIGN--Data on survival times and inpatient and day care use of resources were derived from existing patient records or collected prospectively between 1983 (when the first case of AIDS was diagnosed in the district) and 31 March 1990. SUBJECTS--A total of 488 HIV positive patients of whom 396 had been diagnosed as having AIDS were studied. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--Inpatient days consumed per annum; trends in the number of bed days per person year with AIDS; the lifetime inpatient use per AIDS patient; and the influence of survival on service use estimates were determined. Altogether 16.4% of a total 17,785 hospital inpatient days were attributable to HIV positive patients who did not fulfil the criteria for AIDS. For patients with AIDS, there was an initial increase in the intensity of inpatient use in 1987 when a dedicated HIV ward was opened. After 1988, however, inpatient use fell to 30.8 bed days per person year with AIDS. Patients diagnosed after April 1987 had noticeably longer survival times than those diagnosed earlier (a median of 17-18 months compared with a median of 10-11 months). From 214 lifetime service use records, it was estimated that patients with short survival (less than six months) would consume 36 days of inpatient care, while those expected to survive longer would consume approximately twice that number of days, irrespective of how much longer they survived. CONCLUSIONS--The data indicate less intensive use of inpatient care by AIDS patients over time, and hence the apparent ability to manage an increasing AIDS patient workload without a comparable increase in occupied bed days. Increases in the size of that workload and changes in the survival profile of patients, together with a relatively constant rate of service demand by longer survivors, however, will continue to place increasing strains on finite inpatient resources. Further research is needed to establish the extent to which the greater use of outpatient and community services can offset this.